Refinery Listing Will Democratize Africa’s Industrial Prosperity – Dangote

… South African investors eye investment opportunities

 

President/Chief Executive, Dangote Group, Aliko Dangote, has said the planned listing of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals on the Nigerian Exchange is designed to democratise wealth creation and give Africans direct access to participate in the continent’s industrial transformation.

 

Dangote spoke during the visit of the leadership of South Africa’s Government Employees Pension Fund (GEPF), alongside the Public Investment Corporation and Alterra Capital Partners, to the Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals and Dangote Fertiliser Limited in Lagos. The South African delegation included Chairperson of GEPF, Frans Baleni; Principal Executive Officer of GEPF, Musa Mabesa; Deputy Chairperson of PIC, Mongwena Maluleke; Chief Executive Officer of PIC, Patrick Dlamini; and Managing Partner of Alterra Capital Partners, Genevieve Sangudi.

 

The visit comes amid rising investor interest in Africa-led industrialisation and long-term infrastructure investments. GEPF is Africa’s largest defined benefit pension fund, managing the retirement and associated benefits of more than 1.8 million public sector workers in South Africa, while PIC is the continent’s largest asset manager.

 

Speaking on the planned refinery listing, Dangote said Africa’s next phase of economic growth must be anchored on large-scale industrial projects capable of creating jobs, strengthening domestic production capacity and generating broad-based prosperity.

 

“We are opening the doors for investors to participate directly in Africa’s industrial future and the prosperity it will create,” Dangote said.

 

According to him, the refinery project reflects the scale of untapped opportunities within Africa’s energy market, particularly as most African countries remain dependent on imported refined petroleum products despite growing industrial demand and rising consumption.

 

Dangote said the Group’s long-term investment strategy is driven by Africa’s expanding energy needs and the urgent requirement for regional refining capacity capable of serving multiple markets across the continent.

 

The billionaire industrialist noted that demand for products such as polypropylene, aviation fuel and refined petroleum products has exceeded earlier projections, reinforcing the commercial viability of the refinery and shaping future expansion plans.

 

“We thought about Nigeria first and then exports, but even with our current production, we are practically living hand to mouth because the market demand is extremely high,” he said.

 

Speaking after the tour of the Dangote facilities in Ibeju-Lekki, the Chairperson of GEPF, Frans Baleni, said that the refinery stands as evidence that Africa can execute transformational infrastructure projects when backed by visionary leadership, long-term investment and strong technical expertise.

 

“If it can be done anywhere else in the world, it can be done in Africa,” he said. “This project has shown that the continent is capable of achieving world-class industrialisation at scale.”

 

Baleni added that the significance of the project extends well beyond Nigeria’s borders. “What has been built here is reshaping how the world should think about African industrial capability — and it should reshape how Africa thinks about itself. For too long, projects of this magnitude have been associated with other parts of the world. The Dangote Refinery and Petrochemicals Complex is a powerful demonstration that, with visionary leadership and long-term capital, that perception no longer holds. This is the kind of African-led industrial scale that institutional investors on this continent should be backing.”

 

On his part, Chief Executive Officer of PIC, Patrick Dlamini, described the refinery as one of the most transformative industrial projects undertaken on the continent, saying it is reshaping global perceptions about Africa’s industrial capabilities and economic potential.

 

Quoting former South African President Nelson Mandela, Dlamini said: “It always looks impossible until it’s done. This project is redefining the story of Africa and the possibilities of Africa.”

 

He said PIC, which manages about $230 billion in assets largely on behalf of South Africa’s Government Employees Pension Fund, is actively seeking long-term partnerships aligned with infrastructure development, industrialisation and economic transformation across Africa.

 

“PIC’s mandate is to deploy long-term, patient capital in service of industrialisation, infrastructure and economic transformation across Africa,” Dlamini said. “What we have seen today reinforces our conviction that the next chapter of African prosperity will be written through partnership between African institutional capital and African industrial champions. There is real strategic alignment between Dangote’s industrial agenda and how we are positioning our portfolio, and we look forward to exploring meaningful avenues for collaboration.”

 

According to him, poverty, unemployment and economic exclusion remain major drivers of instability across Africa, making industrialisation and large-scale job creation critical to the continent’s long-term development.

T+1 Settlement Cycle Takes Off June 1- SEC

In furtherance to its mandate to promote an efficient, fair, and transparent capital market, the Securities and Exchange Commission has announced the transition to a T+1 settlement cycle for equities and commodities transactions with effect form Monday June 1, 2926.
This notice published by the by SEC on May 18, 2026, outlines a comprehensive framework that all capital market operators and relevant stakeholders are encouraged to adopt in preparation for this significant change.
The Commission stated that the migration to a T+1 settlement cycle forms part of the Commission’s ongoing market
modernization initiatives aimed at enhancing market efficiency, strengthening risk management,
reducing counterparty exposure, improving liquidity, and aligning the Nigerian capital market with
international standards and global best practices.
According to the notice,  with the new framework, all eligible trades executed in the Nigerian capital market will settle one business day after the trade date, effectively reducing the current two-business-day settlement period.
“Importantly, the final trading day under the existing T+2 cycle will be May 29, 2026.
Specifically, trades executed on both May 29 and June 1, 2026, will settle on the same date, June 2, 2026, creating a seamless convergence window that supports an efficient transition.
“From June 1 onward, all trades will operate under the T+1 framework, and it is essential for all capital market operators, securities exchanges, clearing and settlement infrastructure providers, custodians, registrars, issuers, and other stakeholders to ensure they are fully operationally ready by the commencement date.”
“Implementation Highlights are: Effective Monday, June 1, 2026, all eligible trades shall settle on a T+1 basis; Friday, May 29, 2026, shall be the final trading day under the existing T+2 settlement cycle; Trades executed on Friday, May 29, 2026, and Monday, June 1, 2026, shall both settle on Tuesday, June 2, 2026; and All trades executed from Monday, June 1, 2026, onward shall be subject to the T+1 settlement cycle”.
This strategic move further positions Nigeria on a trajectory of convergence with developed market standards, following in the footsteps of the United States, which migrated to T+1 in May 2024, along with Canada and Mexico. India has also made notable strides in compressing its settlement cycle and is piloting instantaneous settlement for select trades.
For retail investors, this means quicker access to proceeds from share sales. Meanwhile, institutional players and custodians must prioritize reconfiguring their back-office systems and reconciliation workflows to align with the T+1 cycle before June 1.
The recent reforms reflect Nigeria’s dedication to bridging the infrastructure gap with more developed markets and signify an attractive opportunity for foreign institutional investors.
The journey from T+3 to T+2 and now to T+1 in less than seven months highlights the SEC’s proactive approach toward fostering a more dynamic and robust capital market.
“Market participants are expected to review and align their systems, processes, controls, and operational workflows ahead of the implementation date.
“The Commission will continue to engage stakeholders and monitor the implementation process to ensure an orderly and seamless transition. We remain committed to strengthening market integrity, enhancing investor confidence, and fostering the development of a modern, resilient, and globally competitive Nigerian capital market. For further information, please contact: emidivision@sec.gov.ng” the Circular added.
Food inflation spikes above 20% in 11 states

National Bureau of StatisticsFood inflation remained above 20 per cent in 11 states in April 2026, even as national food inflation surpassed headline inflation for the first time in eight months, signalling renewed pressure on household purchasing power across the country.

Data from the latest Consumer Price Index report released by the National Bureau of Statistics showed that food inflation rose to 16.06 per cent in April 2026, slightly higher than the headline inflation rate of 15.69 per cent recorded in the same month.

The development marked the first time food inflation exceeded all-item inflation since August 2025, when food inflation stood at 25.30 per cent compared to headline inflation of 23.14 per cent.

Between September 2025 and March 2026, headline inflation consistently remained higher than food inflation, reflecting broader price pressures beyond food items, including transport, accommodation, energy, and services.

In September 2025, food inflation stood at 20.16 per cent against headline inflation of 20.98 per cent. The gap widened further in January 2026 when food inflation slowed sharply to 8.89 per cent while headline inflation remained elevated at 15.10 per cent.

Food inflation later rebounded steadily from 10.84 per cent in December 2025 to 12.12 per cent in February 2026 and 14.31 per cent in March 2026 before overtaking headline inflation again in April 2026.

The latest figures suggest that food prices are once again becoming the dominant driver of inflationary pressure in the economy after months in which non-food components accounted for a larger share of overall inflation.

The NBS stated that food inflation on a year-on-year basis was highest in Enugu at 32.7 per cent, followed by Kwara at 30.8 per cent and Adamawa at 30.1 per cent.

Other states with food inflation above 20 per cent were Rivers at 26.8 per cent, Delta at 23.9 per cent, Bauchi at 23.7 per cent, Edo at 23.0 per cent, Zamfara at 22.0 per cent, Gombe at 21.6 per cent, Anambra at 20.8 per cent, and Benue at 20.1 per cent.

The bureau said, “Food inflation on a year-on-year basis was highest in Enugu (32.67 per cent), Kwara (30.77 per cent), and Adamawa (30.14 per cent), while Borno (1.67 per cent), Jigawa (6.17 per cent), and Taraba (7.19 per cent) recorded the slowest rise in Food inflation on a year-on-year basis.”

According to the report, the rise in food prices was driven by increases in the average prices of millet, yam flour, fresh ginger, beef, garri, yam tubers, fresh pepper, crayfish, cassava tubers, beans, Irish potatoes, tomatoes, wheat grain, soybeans, guinea corn, plantain, and carrots.

The report also showed worsening month-on-month food inflation pressures in some states. Niger recorded the highest monthly food inflation increase at 8.5 per cent, followed by Bauchi at 6.8 per cent and Kogi at 6.7 per cent. Benue and Plateau also recorded strong monthly increases of 6.6 per cent and 6.2 per cent, respectively.

Conversely, Kebbi recorded the slowest monthly food inflation increase at 0.2 per cent, while Katsina and Bayelsa posted 0.5 per cent and 1.3 per cent, respectively.

At the national level, headline inflation rose marginally to 15.69 per cent in April 2026 from 15.38 per cent in March 2026, representing a 0.31 percentage point increase. The NBS said the Consumer Price Index increased to 138.3 points in April from 135.4 points in March.

However, month-on-month headline inflation slowed to 2.13 per cent in April from 4.18 per cent in March, indicating that the pace of overall price increases moderated compared to the previous month.

The bureau added that rural inflation remained higher than urban inflation, with rural inflation at 16.36 per cent and urban inflation at 15.40 per cent year-on-year. Food and non-alcoholic beverages remained the largest contributor to headline inflation, accounting for 6.40 percentage points of the overall inflation rate.

The worsening food inflation trend also aligns with a new warning by the Famine Early Warning Systems Network, which projected that between 16 million and 16.99 million Nigerians could require urgent humanitarian food assistance by November 2026.

The report placed Nigeria among the countries expected to record the highest number of people in need of food assistance globally, alongside Sudan, the Democratic Republic of Congo, and Yemen.

FEWS NET stated that Nigeria’s projected food assistance needs in November 2026 would be higher than last year’s levels and above the five-year average due to persistent conflict, weak purchasing power, and below-average agricultural production.

According to the report, “In northern Nigeria, needs in November will likely remain elevated despite some seasonal improvements with the September main harvest and declining food prices. However, below-average production, persistent conflict, and constrained purchasing power will continue to limit food access, sustaining widespread Crisis (IPC Phase 3), with some inaccessible areas of North East facing Emergency (IPC Phase 4).”

The report added that Nigeria is expected to account for between five and 10 per cent of total projected global humanitarian food assistance needs across FEWS NET-monitored countries in November 2026.

FEWS NET classifies Crisis, also known as IPC Phase 3, as a condition where households face food consumption gaps or can only meet minimum food needs by depleting essential livelihood assets or adopting crisis-level coping strategies. Emergency, classified as IPC Phase 4, reflects severe food consumption gaps, high acute malnutrition, and excess mortality.

Commenting on the inflation trend, the Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprise, Dr Muda Yusuf, said the latest figures reflected a fragile disinflation process amid persistent pressure from food, transport, and energy costs.

Yusuf noted that although headline inflation rose marginally from 15.38 per cent in March to 15.69 per cent in April, the moderation in month-on-month inflation indicators suggested weakening short-term inflationary momentum.

He said, “Nonetheless, inflation conditions remain severe from a welfare and business cost perspective. Food inflation stood at 16.06 per cent, while core inflation remained elevated at 15.86 per cent. The dominant inflation drivers continue to be food, transportation, energy products, healthcare, and restaurant services, which together accounted for about 87 per cent of the inflation pressure recorded in April.”

According to him, the pressure on essential household spending items was worsening the cost-of-living crisis for many Nigerians, particularly low-income households.

Yusuf also warned that rising geopolitical tensions involving Iran, Israel, and the United States could further worsen inflationary pressures through higher global oil prices and rising domestic energy costs.

He stated, “Rising petrol, diesel and gas prices are fuelling transportation, logistics and production costs across sectors, with significant pass-through effects on food prices and overall consumer inflation.”

The economist argued that Nigeria’s inflation challenge remained largely structural and supply-driven, warning that tighter monetary policy alone would not resolve inflation caused by high energy costs, weak infrastructure, logistics bottlenecks, and food supply disruptions.

He added that further monetary tightening could worsen financing costs for businesses, weaken investment, and constrain productivity growth.

Yusuf called on the Federal Government and state governments to prioritise supply-side reforms aimed at reducing energy and transportation costs, strengthening food supply systems, improving trade facilitation, and boosting domestic productivity.

In an earlier statement, the Director-General of the Lagos Chamber of Commerce and Industry, Dr Chinyere Almona, said the continued rise in food, transportation, energy, and logistics costs was worsening pressure on businesses and households despite signs of moderation in inflation trends.

She noted that inflation continued to erode purchasing power, weaken consumer demand, and compress business margins, particularly for manufacturers, traders, Micro, Small, and Medium Enterprises, and low-income households.

Almona said, “The chamber observes that inflation continues to weigh heavily on manufacturers, MSMEs, traders, and consumers, through rising costs of food, transportation, energy, and logistics.”

She added that the higher rural inflation rate of 16.36 per cent reflected deeper structural challenges, including insecurity in food-producing communities, weak transportation networks, poor storage systems, and persistent supply chain disruptions.

According to her, “The higher rural inflation rate also highlights ongoing supply chain disruptions, insecurity in food-producing areas, and weak distribution infrastructure.”

The LCCI boss stated that although inflation had moderated significantly from the 26.82 per cent recorded in April 2025, many Nigerians were yet to experience meaningful relief due to lingering economic pressures and declining purchasing power.

She called for stronger policy coordination, exchange rate stability, improved energy supply, and deliberate support for local production to sustain the current moderation in inflation.

Almona maintained that long-term price stability would depend on reforms aimed at boosting productivity, improving infrastructure, strengthening food security, and creating a more business-friendly operating environment.

Investors lose N81bn as bears dominate NGX trading

NGXThe Nigerian equities market opened the week on a marginally bearish note on Monday, as mild profit-taking activity dragged key performance indicators lower on the Nigerian Exchange Limited.

At the close of trading, the market capitalisation of listed equities declined slightly by N81bn or 0.05 per cent to close at N160.362tn, down from the N160.443tn recorded in the previous session.

Similarly, the benchmark All-Share Index eased by 126.09 points to close at 250,204.83 points from 250,330.92 points, reflecting a broadly cautious trading session.

Market breadth closed negative, with 33 gainers against 36 decliners, indicating a slight tilt towards selling pressure across listed equities as investors locked in profits from recent rallies.

On the local bourse, energy firm Oando Plc led the top gainers, advancing 10.00 per cent to close at N51.70 per share, up from N47.00 in the previous session. Educational publisher UPL Plc followed closely with a 10.00 per cent gain, closing at N5.50 from N5.00.

Deap Capital Management & Trust Plc appreciated 9.96 per cent to close at N5.96, while pharmaceutical manufacturer May & Baker Nigeria Plc rose 9.94 per cent to settle at N52.00. Hospitality counter Transcorp Hotels Plc completed the top five gainers’ list with a 9.92 per cent growth, closing at N7.76.

Conversely, NCR Nigeria Plc topped the laggards’ chart, shedding 9.99 per cent to close at N161.20 per share from its previous close of N179.10. Zichis Agro Allied Industries Plc also declined 9.99 per cent to settle at N26.49, while international marketing firm IMG Plc dropped 9.93 per cent to close at N38.10.

Sovereign Trust Insurance Plc lost 9.93 per cent to close at N2.65, and media firm Daar Communications Plc shed 9.78 per cent of its value to close the day at N2.03.

Meanwhile, high-capitalisation blue-chip stocks, including MTN Nigeria Communications Plc, Dangote Cement Plc, Julius Berger Nigeria Plc, Guinness Nigeria Plc, and Cadbury Nigeria Plc, closed flat for the session. The stall reflected a cautious stance among institutional investors holding positions in heavyweight counters.

Overall, trading activity maintained a balanced but slightly negative tone, as market participants continued to engage in selective positioning amid profit-taking in recent gainers and strategic rotation into defensive consumer and industrial plays.

Reviewing previous market drivers, the Head of Research at GTI, Abiodun Ogunniyi, noted that sector-specific momentum had largely anchored market volumes.

“Last week, robust activity in Finance, ICT, and Services drove market turnover, with FBN Holdings, UBA, and Chams as the top three traded equities,” Ogunniyi said.

Looking ahead to trading expectations for the rest of the week, the research head pointed towards emerging bargain-hunting opportunities on specific tickers despite the initial downswing.

Ogunniyi added, “This week, we expect selective interest in The Initiates PLC, ZICHIS, and ARADEL following recent profit-taking pressures, alongside a potential rerating of Meyer. Overall sentiment should remain cautiously positive as investors continue to track selective names for early-week positioning.”

Market analysts added that overall investor sentiment remains stable, with market participants expected to closely monitor upcoming corporate quarterly earnings releases and macroeconomic signals for clearer directional cues in subsequent sessions.

Sterling Financial crosses N4tn asset threshold in Q1 2026

Sterling Financial Holdings Company PlcSterling Financial Holdings Company Plc has sustained its aggressive growth trajectory, with its total assets crossing the historic N4tn threshold for the first time in the first quarter ended 31 March 2026.

According to the group’s latest financial statements, total assets hit N4.07tn in Q1 2026, building on the N3.91tn closed at the end of the 2025 financial year.

The holding company also published its audited full-year 2025 results, revealing an 89.2 per cent surge in profit before tax to N86.8bn, up from the previous year.

Profit after tax for FY2025 similarly grew 74.8 per cent to close at N76.3bn, driven by a historic 44.4 per cent rise in gross earnings to N486.8bn.

The strong performance trickled directly into Q1 2026, where gross earnings rose 41.6 per cent year-on-year to N134.8bn, while profit before tax climbed 52.8 per cent to N27.9bn.

Additionally, the successful completion of the group’s recapitalisation programme pushed shareholders’ funds up to N542.5bn during the quarter.

Commenting on the milestone and the underlying drivers of the group’s performance, the Group Managing Director of Sterling Financial Holdings Company Plc, Yemi Odubiyi, said, “Our FY2025 and Q1 2026 results reflect continued growth across the Group’s core businesses, supported by disciplined execution, improved operating efficiency, and a strengthened capital position.

“The successful completion of our recapitalisation programme positions the Group for the next phase of growth across our commercial banking, non-interest banking, and wealth-management businesses.”

Looking toward the remaining quarters of the year, he added, “We remain focused on sustaining growth, strengthening our balance sheet and delivering long-term value across our diversified platform.”

The growth period highlights a critical phase in the holding company’s evolution, as the synchronised expansion of Sterling Bank Limited, The Alternative Bank Limited, and SterlingFI Wealth Management positions the group to effectively capture market share across multiple financial segments under a unified corporate framework.

The Nigerian Exchange Group Plc has intensified its investor education drive through a digital engagement initiative aimed at improving financial literacy and deepening retail participation in the Nigerian capital market.

The group recently hosted an X Space session themed ‘Follow the Fundamentals: A Beginner’s Guide to the Stock Market’, which reached over 5,000 users. The audience was largely composed of young Nigerians, first-time investors, and retail market participants seeking to better understand investment opportunities.

The session featured social media investment influencer Omiete Inko-Tariah, alongside representatives from Nigerian Exchange Limited and NGX Regulation Limited. It demystified key concepts around market operations, investor protection, and safe participation.

Beyond education, the event served as an open forum where retail investors engaged directly with market stakeholders on issues of confidence, transparency, and accessibility.

Speaking on the initiative, the Head, Group Communications and Partnerships at NGX Group, Clifford Akpolo, said, “Deepening retail participation is critical to building a more resilient, inclusive, and sustainable capital market.

“At NGX Group, we believe financial literacy is not just an educational responsibility; it is a strategic imperative for strengthening investor confidence, improving market accessibility, and expanding long-term wealth creation opportunities for Nigerians. Through digital platforms like this, we are leveraging innovation to connect with the next generation of investors and democratise access to market knowledge.”

The initiative forms part of NGX Group’s broader sustainability agenda under its Community pillar, which focuses on advancing financial literacy, inclusion, and economic empowerment through education-driven and stakeholder-focused programmes.

Following the success of this edition, NGX Group plans to sustain similar engagements as part of its ongoing commitment to strengthening investor confidence, deepening retail participation, and building a more resilient and inclusive investment ecosystem.

Dangote Refinery Reduces Jet Fuel Price To N1,650

Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals has reduced the price of aviation fuel (Jet A1) to N1,650 per litre from N1,750 per litre, in a move aimed at easing cost pressures on airlines and ensuring uninterrupted fuel supply across the country.
This is in addition to a 30-day interest-free credit facility backed by bank guarantees (BG) for marketers and airline operators and a shift from a dollar-denominated pricing structure to a naira-based model.
These interventions come amid growing concerns over the rising operational costs faced by domestic carriers, with aviation fuel accounting for a significant portion of airline expenses. Industry stakeholders have repeatedly warned that escalating Jet A1 prices were placing severe financial strain on operators and threatening the sustainability of flight operations.
The refinery’s decision is expected to provide relief to airline operators by lowering fuel procurement costs, improving operational stability, and supporting efforts to moderate airfares.
63% of Nigerians want interest rates reduced – CBN

CBN-VUILDING-700×375The Central Bank of Nigeria says 63.3 per cent of Nigerians want interest rates reduced ahead of the Monetary Policy Committee meeting scheduled for May 19 and 20, 2026.

The apex bank disclosed this in its April 2026 Inflation Expectations Survey Report, released by its Statistics Department under the Economic Policy Directorate on its website and obtained by The PUNCH on Sunday.

The report found that most respondents preferred lower borrowing costs despite persistent inflationary pressures across the economy. It stated, “The survey revealed high public engagement with CBN communications (92.1 per cent), a general perception of transparency (93.3 per cent), and a strong desire for a reduction in interest rates (63.3 per cent).”

According to the report, 26.0 per cent of respondents wanted interest rates retained at current levels, while 10.7 per cent supported a further rate hike. The development comes as the MPC prepares to take another decision on the Monetary Policy Rate amid concerns over inflation, exchange rate pressures, insecurity, and rising energy costs.

The survey showed that inflation perception worsened in April 2026, with 67.2 per cent of respondents describing inflation as high, up from 56.4 per cent recorded in March 2026.

The CBN noted that the Inflation Perception Index stood at 40.5 points in April, indicating that respondents still considered inflation elevated. It stated, “The Inflation Perception Index stood at 40.5 points in April 2026, suggesting that respondents still perceive inflation as high.”

The report further showed that inflation concerns were more pronounced among households than businesses. It stated that the proportion of households that perceived inflation as high increased from 61.7 per cent in March to 68.8 per cent in April, while the figure for businesses rose from 51.9 per cent to 65.9 per cent within the same period.

Analysis by business size showed that micro businesses recorded the highest inflation perception at 69.9 per cent, while medium businesses had the lowest at 63.2 per cent. The survey also revealed a sharp disparity across income groups.

According to the report, households earning below N70,000 monthly recorded the highest inflation perception at 77.9 per cent, while respondents earning between N250,001 and N350,000 reported the lowest perception of high inflation at 46.6 per cent.

Rural households were also more affected, with 70.4 per cent reporting high inflation perception compared to 67.6 per cent among urban households. On the major drivers of inflation, respondents identified energy costs, transportation, exchange rate pressures, insecurity, and infrastructure challenges as the top factors fuelling rising prices.

The report stated, “Business and household respondents identified energy, transportation, exchange rate, and infrastructure as the major drivers of their perceptions of inflation.”

Despite the current inflation concerns, respondents expressed optimism that inflationary pressures could moderate over the next six months.

Further analysis showed that 58.5 per cent of respondents expected inflation to increase next month, while 56.7 per cent and 54.4 per cent expected inflation to rise over the next three and six months, respectively. However, the proportion expecting inflation to decline increased steadily from 11.0 per cent for next month to 20.4 per cent over the next six months.

On expenditure outlook, the report showed that 67.9 per cent of respondents expected spending to rise in the current month, with businesses recording slightly higher expenditure expectations at 69.0 per cent compared to 66.7 per cent for households.

NAHCO posts N24bn profit, eyes airport concessions

The Nigerian Aviation Handling Company Plc has recorded a profit before tax of N24.28bn for the 2025 financial year, while signalling interest in the Federal Government’s planned concession of major airport terminals across the country.

The company disclosed this at its 45th Annual General Meeting held in Lagos over the weekend, where shareholders urged management to leverage its strong financial position and operational capacity to bid for airport ownership and management under the Federal Government’s privatisation programme.

The Federal Government is currently pursuing the concession of five major international airport terminals through a Public-Private Partnership arrangement supervised by the Bureau of Public Enterprises and the Ministry of Aviation and Aerospace Development. The initiative, according to shareholders, is aimed at improving infrastructure, efficiency, and service delivery in the aviation sector.

Speaking at the AGM, President of the Association for the Advancement of Rights of Nigerian Shareholders, Farouk Umar, said NAHCO has attained the financial and operational strength required to compete for airport concessions within and outside Nigeria.

Umar commended the company’s market performance, noting that shareholders have continued to enjoy strong returns on investment.

He said, “NAHCO has now reached a level that they can even provide the same services in other African countries. When I was on board, I tried to take the business to the Morocco Airport, but we did not get there.

“Secondly, the government is trying to privatise the airport. I call on NAHCO to bid because they have the capability and financial position to win the bid.”

“They have done very well. Last year, the share price was N80; today, it is over N200, and that is more than 250 per cent. They are giving bonuses of one for seven, which is very commendable. And they have now won the business of Fly Gabon, Saudi Arabia, and Qatar. This will increase revenue and bring more profit to shareholders,” he stated.

Financial results presented at the meeting showed that the company’s total revenue rose by 22.93 per cent from N53.54bn in 2024 to N65.82bn in 2025. Profit before tax increased by 29.83 per cent from N18.70bn to N24.28bn, while profit after tax grew by 36.02 per cent from N12.87bn to N17.5bn. Earnings per share also rose from N6.60 in 2024 to N8.99 in 2025.

Chairman of NAHCO Group, Seinde Fadeni, attributed the strong performance to operational excellence and disciplined cost management despite prevailing economic challenges.

“We know it should delight you as owners of the company that in 2025, NAHCO recorded impressive growth across key performance indicators, combining a strong push for market share with disciplined cost management,” Fadeni said.

He disclosed that the board had recommended a dividend payment of N6.25 per share alongside a bonus issue of one share for every seven shares held for the 2025 financial year.

“In the few years that the present board has overseen the affairs of the company, our business has experienced significant growth. We are committed to accelerating this growth by sustaining leadership in existing markets and exploring new opportunities,” he added.

Fadeni, however, noted that rising fuel prices and inflation remain major operational concerns, stressing that “Fuel price is affecting our books. The commodity market is not smiling at us at all, but we are managing the situation.”

Group Managing Director and Chief Executive Officer of NAHCO, Olumuyiwa Olumekun, said the company has continued to expand despite economic headwinds, maintaining its leadership position in aviation services.

“Our stock performance was stellar, with a 188 per cent year-to-year gain and a market cap exceeding N200bn. We unveiled a five-year strategic diversification plan to push revenue beyond N300bn, focusing on new ventures and collaborations,” Olumekun said.

He further disclosed that the company has acquired more than 271 new ground support equipment units over the last three years as part of efforts to modernise operations and improve efficiency.

Recapitalisation: Insurers scramble for N132bn as deadline stands

Olusegun OmosehinWith the July 31 deadline firmly in place, several insurance companies are intensifying efforts to raise fresh capital through rights issues, private placements, mergers, and acquisitions in a bid to avoid regulatory sanctions and possible licence withdrawal, reports JIDE AJIA

Across Lagos, Abuja, and other commercial centres, anxiety is rising within the Nigerian insurance industry as operators confront one of the sector’s most defining transitions in decades. Inside corporate boardrooms, executives are spending long hours reviewing financial records, holding discussions with potential investors, and considering merger opportunities as they battle to comply with new regulatory capital requirements.

The urgency follows the implementation of the Nigeria Insurance Industry Reform Act 2025, which introduced a fresh recapitalisation framework aimed at strengthening the financial capacity of insurance operators. While the reforms are expected to create a stronger and globally competitive industry, they have also placed enormous pressure on operators, particularly medium-sized and smaller firms with weak capital buffers.

Industry estimates suggest insurers collectively need about N132.5bn to meet the new minimum capital thresholds before the deadline expires. With regulators insisting that the timeline will not be adjusted, the scramble for fresh capital has intensified, turning recapitalisation into a struggle for survival.

“The July 31 deadline is sacrosanct,” the Commissioner for Insurance, Olusegun Omosehin, recently declared during a high-level industry engagement.

He stressed that the deadline is no longer an administrative decision that can easily be adjusted but a statutory requirement embedded within the NIIRA 2025 framework.

“Any attempt to change the deadline would require a fresh legislative process and presidential assent. We believe the deadline is doable, and we are moving forward with full implementation,” he said.

Under the new framework, life insurance firms are expected to maintain a minimum paid-up capital of N10bn, general insurance companies must meet N15bn, while reinsurers are required to maintain N35bn. For many operators, especially those with fragile balance sheets, this means raising billions of naira in fresh capital in an economy characterised by high interest rates and weak investor sentiment.

The challenge has been worsened by Nigeria’s difficult macroeconomic environment. Persistent inflation, elevated borrowing costs, and cautious investor appetite have made fundraising increasingly difficult. Access to investment capital has tightened significantly, forcing insurers to compete aggressively for limited market attention.

At the same time, confidence within the market is beginning to tilt in favour of stronger operators. Insurance brokers and large corporate clients are becoming more selective about the firms with which they place risks, preferring companies that have already demonstrated financial strength and readiness for the new regime.

Industry stakeholders say this trend is widening the divide between well-capitalised insurers and weaker operators struggling to survive. Larger firms with stronger balance sheets and established brands are attracting more business, while smaller companies face the risk of losing market share amid growing uncertainty over their future.

“Trust is the currency of insurance,” a veteran insurance broker in Lagos noted. “If an underwriter cannot prove they will be here after July 2026, we cannot, in good conscience, place our clients’ risks with them. We are already seeing business redistribute itself toward the large-cap players who have demonstrated resilience. The brokers are looking for stability, not just certificates.”

As a result, the recapitalisation exercise is gradually reshaping competition within the industry. Operators perceived to be financially stable are consolidating their market positions, while weaker firms face mounting pressure from both regulators and customers.

Several insurers have already approached the capital market to raise fresh funds. Companies such as Sovereign Trust Insurance, International Energy Insurance, and Guinea Insurance are pursuing rights issues and private placements to bridge their funding gaps.

Some firms are also considering mergers and acquisitions as a quicker and more practical route to compliance. Analysts believe consolidation may become unavoidable for operators unable to independently secure the required funds before the deadline.

Despite these efforts, investor appetite for insurance stocks remains relatively weak compared to sectors such as banking and telecommunications. Historically, many insurance firms have struggled with poor profitability, low dividend yields, and inconsistent corporate performance, factors that continue to affect investor confidence.

Nevertheless, regulators insist the recapitalisation exercise is not intended to cripple the industry but rather to reposition it for sustainable growth. The National Insurance Commission has repeatedly stated that its objective is to create a leaner but stronger insurance market capable of supporting Nigeria’s long-term economic ambitions.

Regulatory officials have also signalled their willingness to support struggling operators through restructuring arrangements, mergers, and acquisitions to ensure policyholders remain protected during the transition process.

“We have made it clear that no insurance company will be allowed to fail in a way that hurts the public,” a Deputy Commissioner for Insurance stated during a recent industry forum. “We are engaging weaker firms and supporting them through restructuring, mergers, or acquisitions to ensure continuity. The goal is a stronger industry capable of underwriting complex risks and driving national development. If you cannot stand alone, you must find a partner.”

The broader objective of the reform, according to regulators, is to create a more resilient insurance sector capable of underwriting large and sophisticated risks within Nigeria’s economy. Operators unable to independently meet the new thresholds are expected to seek strategic alliances through mergers or acquisitions.

Among industry insiders, particular attention has focused on a group unofficially referred to as the “Motionless 12”, firms believed to have made little meaningful progress toward recapitalisation. These operators are considered to face the highest regulatory risk if they fail to secure fresh funding or conclude merger arrangements before the deadline.

For such companies, the coming months are expected to be decisive. Failure to comply could result in licence suspension or outright revocation, potentially ending decades of participation within the Nigerian insurance market.

The recapitalisation drive is also closely linked to Nigeria’s broader economic aspirations. Policymakers believe a stronger insurance industry is necessary to support the Federal Government’s ambition of building a $1tn economy by 2030.

Large-scale investments in infrastructure, aviation, oil and gas, and manufacturing require strong insurance backing to effectively manage risk. However, Nigeria’s insurance sector has historically lacked the financial capacity to independently underwrite major projects, forcing substantial portions of risk to be transferred abroad.

Insurance penetration in Nigeria currently remains below one per cent, one of the lowest rates globally. Industry experts argue that weak capitalisation, poor public confidence, and a fragmented market structure have contributed significantly to the sector’s underperformance over the years.

The Nigeria Insurance Industry Reform Act 2025 seeks to reverse this trend by introducing stronger capital standards alongside a risk-based capital framework designed to improve operational discipline and financial stability.

“The scale of our economic ambition requires insurers that can sign off on billion-dollar risks without running to foreign reinsurers for every kobo,” an investment banker familiar with ongoing recapitalisation deals observed. “The N132.5bn gap is the price we must pay for local capacity. If we don’t pay it now, we will keep losing billions in premium flights to London and Dubai.”

Still, the journey toward the 31 July 2026 deadline remains challenging. The prevailing economic environment continues to create significant obstacles for firms seeking new investments. High borrowing costs and inflationary pressures have weakened investor appetite, making fundraising exercises more difficult than many operators initially anticipated.

Analysts say investors are increasingly focusing on companies with strong governance structures, transparent operations, and clear growth prospects. This trend has naturally favoured larger insurers such as AIICO Insurance, AXA Mansard Insurance, and Leadway Assurance, which are widely viewed as financially stable.

Consequently, smaller operators are coming under growing pressure as capital increasingly gravitates toward stronger firms. Industry observers describe the situation as one where stronger players continue to strengthen further while weaker operators struggle to attract meaningful investor support.

“The era of having over 50 players with thin capital bases is ending,” an industry consultant observed. “We expect to see a market of about 25 to 30 well-capitalised giants after the dust settles. This recapitalisation is the great cull that will ultimately professionalise the Nigerian insurance landscape. It is painful, yes, but it is a necessary surgery for a sector that has been under-performing for decades.”

For now, activities within insurance company boardrooms remain intense as operators continue their aggressive search for fresh capital. Discussions surrounding mergers, acquisitions, rights issues, and private placements are expected to accelerate further as the deadline approaches.

The message from regulators remains clear: there will be no extension, and operators unable to meet the requirements must either secure fresh capital or seek strategic partners.

As 31 July 2026 draws closer, the Nigerian insurance industry stands on the brink of a major transformation. By the time the deadline expires, the sector is expected to emerge leaner, more consolidated, and significantly different from its current structure.

For many insurers, the coming months will determine whether they evolve into stronger institutions capable of competing in a modern financial system or disappear as casualties of one of the most ambitious regulatory reforms ever introduced into Nigeria’s insurance industry.

FirstBank, Visa Launch Naira Visa Debit Card To Accelerate Nigeria’s Cashless Payments Drive

First Bank of Nigeria Limited has launched its Naira Visa Debit Card, in partnership with Visa to extend accessible, reliable electronic payment capabilities to a broader segment of the Nigerian population.

The card is targeted at everyday consumers who require a dependable payment instrument for routine domestic and international transactions. Accepted across POS terminals, ATMs, and online platforms through Visa’s payments network, the Naira Visa Debit Card is designed to reduce friction for customers transitioning from cash to electronic payments across retail, utilities, and digital commerce.

The launch aligns with Nigeria’s ongoing drive toward a cashless economy, a policy direction that has gained significant momentum following successive Central Bank of Nigeria directives encouraging the adoption of electronic payment channels. The card is intended to serve customers across the country’s diverse economic segments.

Speaking on the launch, Chuma Ezirim, Group Executive, eBusiness & Retail Products, FirstBank, said: “Everyday transactions should be simple, secure, and rewarding. The Naira Visa Debit Card is designed to make life easier for our customers, whether they are paying for groceries, settling utility bills, or shopping online. By extending reliable electronic payment access across Nigeria, we are helping more people transition confidently from cash to digital payments, supporting the nation’s cashless policy and empowering communities with greater financial inclusion.”

Commenting on the strategic importance of the partnership, Andrew Uaboi, Vice President and Cluster Head, West Africa, Visa, noted: “A strong payments ecosystem is one that works for everyone. The Naira Visa Debit Card extends reliable electronic payment access to everyday Nigerian consumers, and this in addition to the cards in our portfolio continues to demonstrate what a truly comprehensive card portfolio looks like for the Nigerian market. Visa is proud to power this offering with FirstBank.”

The launch of the Naira Visa Debit Card broadens Visa card portfolio at FirstBank that already includes products spanning credit cards and High-end premium lifestyle spending cards. The addition completes its offering across customer segments, ensuring that cardholders at every income level have access to a product suited to their needs.

The Naira Visa Debit Card is available to all eligible FirstBank account holders through any of the bank’s branches nationwide.