Ecobank Nigeria fully repays tendered US$300m Eurobond notes

Ecobank completes early repayment of tendered US$300m Eurobond Notes |  APAnews - African Press Agency

Ecobank Nigeria has announced the successful repayment of the outstanding principal and accrued interest on its original US$300 million Eurobond due 16 February 2026, marking a significant milestone in its liability management strategy and overall balance sheet strengthening efforts.

Following the full repayment of the Eurobond obligations, the Bank stated that it will now focus its funding initiatives primarily on the domestic capital markets. This strategic shift reflects growing confidence in Nigeria’s local debt market and aligns with Ecobank Nigeria’s long-term objective of optimising funding costs while deepening its participation in the domestic financial ecosystem.

“Going forward, Ecobank Nigeria will prioritise domestic credit ratings and local debt issuance to achieve its funding objectives,” stated Ogorchukwu Okwechime, Financial Controller, Ecobank Nigeria, in Lagos. He added that the successful repayment reinforces the Bank’s commitment to maintaining a resilient balance sheet and sustaining investor confidence.

The tender offer was conducted with Renaissance Capital Africa (Renaissance Securities Nigeria Limited) acting as financial adviser and dealer manager, while Sodali & Co Limited served as tender agent. The notes were originally issued by EBN Finance Company B.V., with limited recourse to the issuer, for the sole purpose of financing the purchase of the US$300 million 7.125 per cent Senior Note due 2026 issued by Ecobank Nigeria.

The transaction underscores Ecobank Nigeria’s proactive approach to liability management, prudent capital planning, and strategic alignment with evolving market conditions. It further positions the Bank to leverage domestic funding opportunities while maintaining financial flexibility and operational stability.

List of senators who opposed manual backup clause in electoral bill released

The identities of the 15 senators who voted in support of mandatory real-time electronic transmission of election results during deliberations on the Electoral Act (Repeal and Re-Enactment) Bill, 2026 have been revealed.

The lawmakers opposed the retention of a controversial provision that allows manual collation of results as a backup.

DAILY POST recalls that the Senate approved the electronic transmission of election results while retaining manual collation as a fallback option in a plenary session on Tuesday.

The resolution followed a tense plenary session in the red chamber of the National Assembly.

During a dramatic division on the floor, 55 senators voted in favour of keeping the manual backup clause, while Senator Enyinnaya Abaribe and the 14 others stood against it, insisting on mandatory real-time electronic transmission.

The senators include:

Natasha Akpoti-Uduaghan (PDP, Kogi Central)

Enyinnaya Abaribe (ADC, Abia South)

Abdul Ningi (PDP, Bauchi Central)

Aminu Tambuwal (PDP, Sokoto South)

Ireti Kingibe (ADC, FCT)

Seriake Dickson (PDP, Bayelsa West)

Onawo Ogwoshi (ADC, Nasarawa South)

Tony Nwoye (ADC, Anambra North)

Victor Umeh (ADC, Anambra Central)

Ibrahim Dankwambo (PDP, Gombe Central)

Austin Akobundu (PDP, Abia Central)

Khalid Mustapha (PDP, Kaduna North)

Sikayo Yaro (PDP, Gombe South)

Emmanuel Nwachukwu (APGA, Anambra South)

Peter Jiya (PDP, Niger South)

Aviation experts again raise concerns over charges

FAANFresh concerns have emerged in Nigeria’s aviation sector as industry experts warn that rising airport and ticket charges could further strain already struggling operators.

A former Commandant of the Murtala Muhammed International Airport, Grp. Capt. John Ojikutu (retd), cautioned that the introduction of new levies by the Federal Airports Authority of Nigeria could shorten the lifespan of many aviation companies.

It will be recalled that both operators and stakeholders have been lamenting multiple taxation in the industry, expressing fears that if such continues, the industry may be brought to its knees.

Speaking in Lagos, Ojikutu argued that before imposing additional charges, FAAN must critically evaluate its existing revenue streams from passenger traffic, flight operations and cargo movements across its 22 airports.

“Unless all these are factored rationally into FAAN earnings before new charges are introduced, unnecessary and irrational charges will be shortening the lifespans of many aviation operators,” he said.

He estimated that based on 2024 traffic figures alone, revenue from Passenger Service Charges, aircraft landing and parking fees should not be less than N400bn annually, excluding earnings from cargo terminals, car parks, toll gates, land rentals and airport concessions.

Ojikutu also faulted FAAN’s spending priorities, saying, “Most of the earnings are not used on the critical services in airports, especially the perimeter and security fences.” The FAAN management since 2004 has not been able to separate the security fence from the perimeter fences, as the International Civil Aviation Organization indicated in its 2004 audit report.

“There are no regular checks or reviews on background checks on airport staff, particularly those working in security control areas.”

He described as excessive the recent capital expenditure figures, including N712bn for the reconstruction of MMIA Terminal One and N535bn for the Abuja second runway.

“These capital expenditures are not just a complete waste but fraudulent spending,” he said, questioning the sharp rise from earlier runway estimates.

Ojikutu advocated structural reforms, including concessioning non-aeronautical services, transferring runways and landing aids to the Nigerian Airspace Management Agency and restructuring FAAN into a holding company model to avoid regulatory overlaps with the Nigeria Civil Aviation Authority.

Similarly, the President of the Aircraft Owners and Pilots Association of Nigeria, Dr Alex Nwuba, criticised what he described as non-transparent passenger and cargo charges.

He pointed to the five per cent Ticket Sales Charge, Value Added Tax on domestic tickets and multiple security and passenger service charges embedded in airfares.

“Although consultations were eventually held on the new cargo charges and the fee was reduced to N15 per kg, the charge still remains arbitrary because no cost study or operational breakdown has been presented to show what specific service the N15 actually pays for,” Nwuba said.

“The argument that the fee has not been increased from the old N7 per kg collected decades ago does not satisfy ICAO’s requirement for cost-relatedness. Historical pricing is not a valid basis for aviation charges. Even with stakeholder engagement, a fee without a transparent cost foundation is treated by ICAO as a tax, not a legitimate service charge,” he added.

Nwuba noted that under ICAO principles, aviation charges must be directly linked to the cost of providing defined services, with transparency and stakeholder consultation.

He referenced a recent resolution by the Economic Community of West African States aimed at reducing non-cost-based aviation charges across the sub-region from January 2026 but expressed doubts about its implementation.

According to him, publishing detailed cost studies and clear service allocations would help restore confidence and ensure that aviation fees reflect service delivery rather than revenue generation.

SAHCO secures ISO certificate

sifax-sahco-logo-brand-1Skyway Aviation Handling Company has secured the ISO/IEC Information Security Management System certification.

According to the company, the achievement puts the company as the first aviation ground handling company in Nigeria and one of the few in Africa to attain the globally recognised standard.

ISO/IEC 27001:2022, as it is called, is regarded as the international benchmark for information security management. It provides a comprehensive framework for protecting sensitive data, managing cybersecurity risks and ensuring the confidentiality, integrity and availability of information.

In the technology-driven aviation industry, the certification is seen as critical to safeguarding operational systems and customer data. It followed a rigorous audit and compliance assessment conducted by a globally accredited certification body, during which the company met all requirements.

The milestone, SAHCO said, reflects its commitment to cyber resilience, operational excellence and world-class service delivery.

Speaking on the achievement, Executive Director Dr Babatunde Afolabi said information security must be embedded across the organisation.

He said, “Information security is not just an IT function; it is an organisational responsibility.” Every employee plays a role in protecting our systems and customer data.

“Through structured training, strict policies and continuous monitoring, we have built a proactive security culture that supports safe, secure and reliable aviation operations.”

He noted that in aviation ground handling, robust information security is fundamental to business continuity and safety.

“By attaining ISO/IEC 27001:2022, SAHCO has demonstrated industry-leading capability in identifying security risks, implementing preventive controls and maintaining business continuity in the face of evolving cyber threats,” he added.

The certification covers SAHCO’s core operational areas, including cargo handling, customer information management, operational systems and key corporate support services.

Implementation involved extensive risk assessments, deployment of security controls, staff awareness programmes, incident response planning and continuous monitoring aligned with international best practices.

The company said the latest feat adds to its existing certifications, including ISAGO and other regulatory and quality standards, further positioning it as a trailblazer in Africa’s aviation ground handling sector.

“With this milestone, SAHCO becomes part of an elite group of global aviation ground handling service providers operating under internationally certified information security management standards.

“We are setting a new benchmark for excellence in Nigeria and across the African continent,” Afolabi stated.

No power, no growth, Dangote warns govt

Aliko DangoteThe President and Chairman of Dangote Industries Limited, Aliko Dangote, on Tuesday called on the Federal Government to urgently convene a national retreat to resolve Nigeria’s persistent electricity crisis, warning that widespread power outages could undermine the country’s industrialisation drive and economic growth.

Dangote made the appeal at the official national launch of the National Industrial Policy 2025 in Abuja, themed “From Policy to Productivity: Implementing Nigeria’s Industrial Future.”

The policy emerged against the backdrop of a weak manufacturing sector, which, due to poor electricity supply, high production costs, limited access to finance, infrastructure deficits, and heavy reliance on imports, has been constrained.

The event was attended by top government officials, captains of industry, and development partners, with President Bola Tinubu represented by Vice President Kashim Shettima

In his goodwill message, Dangote stressed that without stable electricity, Nigeria would struggle to create jobs, drive industrial productivity, or achieve sustainable economic growth.

“One of the things that I want to advise Your Excellency, Mr Vice President, is to call a national forum where we will have a one- or two-day retreat and resolve the issues of power. Because without power, Mr Vice President, there is no way in any country you can create growth or create jobs. So, power means growth. No power, no growth. So we must make sure that we tackle this issue,” he said.

His comments were greeted with applause from participants, including the Vice President. Dangote noted that while government policies to support industrialisation were commendable, the electricity challenge remained the single most critical constraint to manufacturing and job creation.

“We know what you call industrial policy; it is actually very, very important because the government cannot create jobs. They can only facilitate. And I think they have already given us whatever we need to create jobs. The policies that they have put in place are very good. Nigeria is a very big market. Not only that, this is a market where we are supposed to be serving other African nations,” he added.

However, he stressed that policy incentives alone were insufficient without strong infrastructure and protection of domestic industries.

“But one thing that we need is not only the policy. The policy is there. If you look at the incentives that we have for people to invest in Nigeria, actually, they are even more than what we need. The only thing that is remaining is the protection of industries.”

According to him, excessive importation remained a major threat to local manufacturing. “Even if you give us zero-interest loans, free land and power, if there is no protection, there is no way any industry will thrive here. Importation of anything is importation of poverty and exportation of jobs,” Dangote stated.

The billionaire industrialist lamented that many manufacturers now spend more on power generation than on production due to erratic electricity supply.

“So, people who are buying diesel, I would have loved to sell more diesel, but that is not the right way. The right way is to make sure there is power. Some factories spend more money generating electricity than producing goods. You have to set up your own power plant and also a standby. That does not make sense. There is nowhere you can get prosperity that way,” he added.

Dangote’s remarks came amid a recent five-day power supply disruption linked to gas maintenance activities, which triggered widespread blackouts across several parts of the country and heightened concerns among manufacturers and businesses.

Seven power plants across Nigeria experienced gas supply constraints between February 12 and 15, 2026, as Seplat Energy shut down a major facility for scheduled maintenance, lading to nationwide generation shortfalls.

His comments reflected ongoing concerns in the organised private sector following the recent gas supply maintenance shutdown that affected power generation and led to load shedding across the country.

Stakeholders have repeatedly warned that frequent outages are forcing companies to rely on diesel and alternative energy sources, significantly raising production costs and contributing to inflation.

Dangote also highlighted the dominance of the private sector in Nigeria’s economy, urging stronger collaboration between government and businesses. “Nigeria is the only country in Africa where the private sector is bigger than the government. When you look at GDP, the private sector contributes almost 90 per cent, compared to the government’s 10 per cent,” he said. “We have what it takes to create massive consumption, massive industry, and disposable income.”

He added that entrepreneurs must also support national development by paying taxes and complying with regulations. “When we do our business, we must pay our taxes. It is a joint venture. The government is the major shareholder in every business. Today, the government makes more money in our cement business than anybody. But that is okay, so far they allow us to expand and prosper.”

Dangote further said recent economic reforms had improved investor confidence and currency stability. “With the policies that this government has implemented, people are beginning to see the results. Manufacturers are happy. The stability of the currency is encouraging investors to come into Nigeria,” he said.

He projected that the naira could strengthen further if import dependence is reduced. “We should manufacture what we consume. That is the only way to create jobs. If we block unnecessary imports and support local production, the naira will get stronger,” he said.

N’Assembly okays N1.5tn Army budget amid rising insecurity

National Assembly ComplexThe National Assembly on Monday approved a N1.5tn budget proposal for the Nigerian Army for the 2026 fiscal year, pledging legislative support to ensure the timely release of funds for implementation.

The approval followed a joint budget defence session in Abuja by the Senate and House of Representatives Committees on Army, where the Chief of Army Staff, Lt Gen Waidi Shaibu, presented details of the proposed expenditure for the coming year.

Speaking after the session, the Chairman of the Senate Committee on Army, Abdulaziz Yar’Adua, said lawmakers were satisfied with the presentation and reaffirmed their commitment to supporting the Army in the discharge of its constitutional duties.

“We had a joint session of the Senate and House of Representatives Committees on Army on the 2026 budget, and after listening to the presentation of the Chief of Army Staff, all members expressed satisfaction with it.

“All members of the joint committee also agreed that the major issue is the delay in the release of funds, a matter which is affecting all Ministries, Departments and Agencies.

“I want to assure the Chief of Army Staff that we are committed to collaborating with him to succeed.

The army is so critical in our life as a nation, and we would support you with everything you need,” Yar’Adua said.

His counterpart in the House of Representatives, Aminu Balele, commended the COAS, officers and men of the Nigerian Army for their commitment and sacrifice in safeguarding the country.

“As we close the 2026 budget defence, I want to thank my Senate counterpart, Sen Abdulaziz Yar’Adua and his colleagues for joining hands with us for this national assignment. I commend the Chief of Army Staff and his team for their patriotism and commitment.

“In my capacity as the Chairman of the House Committee on Army, I wish to salute Speaker Tajudeen Abbas for his unwavering support.

“We know the issues involved with budgets, and we are ready to push and will continue to push for the timely release of funds, so that you can deliver on your mandates,” he said.

The approval of the N1.5tn allocation comes amid sustained calls for increased funding of Nigeria’s security architecture, particularly the armed forces, as the country continues to grapple with insurgency, banditry, kidnapping and other forms of violent crime.

For over a decade, the Nigerian Army has been at the forefront of counter-insurgency operations against Boko Haram and Islamic State West Africa Province in the North-East.

Troops are also deployed across the North-West and North-Central regions to confront bandits and criminal networks while maintaining internal security operations in other parts of the country.

Security analysts and military authorities have repeatedly argued that the evolving nature of asymmetric warfare requires sustained investment in modern equipment, intelligence gathering, troop welfare, logistics, and training.

Delays in the release of appropriated funds, they note, can slow procurement processes, disrupt operational planning, and affect morale.

With troops engaged on multiple fronts and security remaining central to economic stability and national cohesion, lawmakers believe ensuring prompt fund release will be critical to translating the approved figures into measurable gains on the battlefield.

Dangote signs $400m equipment deal to fast-track refinery expansion

Dangote-3-688×460The Dangote Group says it has signed a $400 million construction equipment agreement with XCMG Construction Machinery Company Limited, one of China’s leading manufacturers of construction machinery, in a move set to accelerate the expansion of the Dangote Petroleum Refinery & Petrochemicals from 650,000 barrels per day to 1.4 million barrels per day, positioning it to become the largest refinery in the world.

The agreement, it was stated, will enable the group to acquire an additional wide range of advanced construction equipment to support ongoing and forthcoming projects across refining, petrochemicals, agriculture and large-scale infrastructure development.

In a statement on Monday, the Dangote Group said the new equipment will complement existing assets deployed for the refinery expansion, which is expected to be completed within three years.

In the statement, the group described the agreement as a strategic investment aimed at deepening its construction footprint and accelerating its ambition to build a $100bn enterprise by 2030.

“The additional equipment we are acquiring under this partnership will significantly enhance execution across our projects. With this investment, we are positioning ourselves to become the number one construction company in the world,” the statement partly read.

Dangote Group added that it is currently accelerating expansion and regional market development as it advances toward its long-term vision of building a $100bn enterprise by 2030.

“Beyond refining, the expansion programme will see polypropylene production increase from 900,000 metric tonnes per annum to 2.4 million metric tonnes per annum. Urea capacity in Nigeria will be tripled from 3 million to 9 million metric tonnes per annum, in addition to the 3 million metric tonnes per annum capacity in Ethiopia, strengthening the Group’s position as the largest urea producer globally.

“Production capacity for Linear Alkyl Benzene will also be increased to 400,000 metric tonnes per annum, positioning the Group as the largest producer in Africa and strengthening supply to the detergent and cleaning agents manufacturing industry. Additional base oil production capacity also forms part of the broader expansion programme,” the group said.

Recall that the Dangote refinery recently announced that it had reached its current nameplate capacity of 650,000 barrels per day, saying it now has the capacity to pump 75 million litres of petrol per day.

In January, the refinery outpaced importers, supplying over 40 million litres of petrol daily, taking 62 per cent of the market share last month.

Inflation plunges as reforms anchor naira stability

Nigeria’s sharp inflation decline signals reform gains, as monetary tightening, stronger reserves, and improved forex management reinforce naira stability and restore investor confidence, JUSTICE OKAMGBA writes

Nigeria’s inflation rate has fallen sharply from 27.61 per cent in January 2024 to 15.10 per cent in January 2026, reflecting the combined impact of monetary easing and structural reforms introduced by the Central Bank of Nigeria.

The moderation in price growth has coincided with improved foreign exchange stability, a rebound in foreign reserves to $46.8bn, and a steadier naira. As the Monetary Policy Committee prepares to meet on February 23 and 24, expectations are high that policymakers will maintain their focus on macroeconomic stability to accelerate the disinflation process, boost FX inflows, and strengthen the domestic currency.

Recent data signal that the economy may be entering a more stable phase. Headline inflation eased to 15.10 per cent in January 2026, down from 15.15 per cent in December, according to the National Bureau of Statistics.

The NBS report showed that the Consumer Price Index fell to 127.4 in January from 131.2 in December, representing a 3.8-point decrease. The decline was largely attributed to lower prices of tomatoes, garri, eggs, potatoes, carrots, millet, vegetables, plantain, beans, wheat grain, ground pepper, and onions.

The latest figures underscore a sustained easing of price pressures nationwide, offering relief to households and reinforcing policymakers’ confidence that current measures are gaining traction.

Inflation declining

The CBN maintains that structural reforms are gradually filtering through the broader economy, helping to stabilise the naira and moderate lending rates as inflation trends downward.

For the apex bank, recent monetary policy actions are part of a deliberate effort to restore macroeconomic balance after years marked by fiscal strain and external vulnerabilities. The bank’s leadership argues that its disciplined approach is yielding tangible outcomes, including easing borrowing costs and improved investor confidence.

The CBN also emphasised that closer alignment between fiscal and monetary authorities remains critical, especially as technological innovation and digital finance reshape the financial system.

At its last meeting in November, the CBN-led Monetary Policy Committee retained the benchmark interest rate at 27 per cent, extending its pause on monetary tightening in a bid to consolidate recent gains in price stability, exchange rate management, and capital flows.

CBN Governor, Olayemi Cardoso, said the MPC voted by a majority “to maintain the monetary policy stance,” explaining that members believed more time was needed for earlier measures to work their way through the economy.

Despite calls from segments of the private sector for more aggressive easing to lower borrowing costs, Cardoso signalled that the bank would stay the course on its disinflation strategy.

The decision marked the fourth time in 2025 that the MPC kept the benchmark rate unchanged, following a 50-basis-point cut in September — the only reduction after the aggressive tightening cycle of 2024, during which rates were raised six times to curb inflationary pressures and defend the naira.

In addition, the committee adjusted the corridor around the benchmark rate to +50/-450 basis points. The Cash Reserve Ratio was retained at 45 per cent for deposit money banks, 16 per cent for merchant banks, and 75 per cent for non-TSA public-sector deposits. The liquidity ratio remained at 30 per cent.

According to the communiqué, the stance was driven by the need “to sustain the progress made so far towards achieving low and stable inflation,” while reaffirming that future decisions would remain “evidence-based and data-driven.”

The CBN attributed the inflation slowdown to sustained monetary tightening, improved FX market stability, stronger capital inflows, and relative calm in fuel prices.

Cardoso observed that investors who previously stayed on the sidelines due to volatility were returning to the market. “After stability comes investment, and after investment comes growth,” he said.

He added that Nigerians would “in the fullness of time” begin to experience the benefits of the current stability as increased investment translates into job creation and higher incomes.

MPC’s decision impact

The MPC’s decision to adjust the Standing Facility corridor around the Monetary Policy Rate from +250/-250 basis points to +50/-450 basis points is seen as a signal to banks to channel more funds into the real sector.

Under the revised framework, banks that choose to deposit excess liquidity with the CBN rather than lend to businesses will receive 450 basis points below the 27 per cent benchmark rate. Analysts interpret this as a move designed to discourage idle deposits and stimulate credit expansion.

The MPC reiterated that its actions are aimed at preserving progress toward low and stable inflation, with a continued commitment to data-driven policymaking.

Confirming the implications of the adjustment, Managing Director of Financial Derivatives Company Limited, Bismarck Rewane, recently said reducing the amount paid to banks for parking idle funds with the CBN would help accelerate lending to the economy.

For the MPC to alter the asymmetric corridor, he noted, means the apex bank is deliberately limiting the returns banks earn on funds held at the CBN rather than extending them to productive sectors.

Rewane explained that the policy shift, alongside positive yields on short-term assets, would strengthen portfolio inflows, support the naira, and reinforce the disinflation trajectory.

“The MPC’s decision also reflects current global trends emphasizing central bank autonomy and independence, as seen in most advanced economies,” he said.

Looking ahead, Rewane said the next MPC meeting in February 2026 is likely to adopt a cautious “wait-and-see” approach, with close monitoring of treasury bill rates and debt management strategies.

He projected that the naira would trade within a band of N1,450–N1,500/$ in the near term, while GDP growth is expected to reach 3.9 per cent in 2025 and 4.2 per cent in 2026. However, he warned that 2026 carries risks, including possible external shocks and a potential drop in Brent crude prices to $55 per barrel.

Rewane added, “We believe that the MPC will most likely cut the policy rate by 100bps to 26 per cent per annum at its February 2026 meeting. This dovish stance by the CBN should in no way undermine the current gradual decline in inflation.”

Other analysts noted that monetary policy works by influencing credit and liquidity conditions to achieve macroeconomic objectives, and that the corridor adjustment is intended to stimulate lending to the domestic economy.

Private sector credit

Recent CBN money and credit statistics indicate that N74.41tn was extended to the private sector in October, up from N72.53tn in September. The N1.88tn increase represents the strongest month-on-month expansion recorded so far in 2025.

On a year-on-year basis, private sector credit rose modestly from N74.07tn in October 2024 to N74.41tn in October 2025. While the annual gain appears limited, the short-term rebound following the September rate cut signals renewed lending momentum.

Cardoso stressed the importance of supporting smaller businesses, stating: “MSMEs remain central to our efforts. Last year alone, microfinance lending expanded by over 14 per cent, and new digital-credit products reached more than 1.2 million small enterprises — evidence of the sector’s growing depth and capacity. We are improving access to credit, supporting microfinance institutions, and expanding financial products tailored to smaller enterprises.”

He added: “The Central Bank of Nigeria will continue to steer monetary policy with discipline, anchored firmly to its core mandate of price stability. Stability remains the bedrock upon which investment flourishes, resources are allocated efficiently, and purchasing power is protected. In 2026, we will deepen engagement with stakeholders, strengthen collaboration with other regulators and international partners, and foster responsible innovation across the financial system.”

Reserves hit eight-year high

Nigeria’s gross external reserves climbed to $46.8bn as of February 4, the highest level in eight years, providing import cover for about 14 months. This marks an 18.9 per cent increase from $38.88bn in January 2025, driven by higher oil exports, diaspora remittances, and foreign portfolio inflows.

Rewane said the stronger reserve position has eased pressure on the naira, which appreciated by 0.65 per cent to N1,385/$.

“This is the strongest level of the naira in the last two years when it was N1,329.65/$ in May 2024.

Improved reserve buffers have also lifted import cover to 14 months, helping reduce exchange-rate pass-through to inflation, lower input-cost volatility for small and medium-sized businesses, and support household purchasing power and consumer confidence ahead of the pre-election year,” he said.

He estimated the fair value of the naira at approximately N1,257 to the dollar, arguing that the currency is undervalued by about 11 per cent based on the purchasing power parity model. According to him, exchange rates tend to converge toward PPP-implied levels over a five-year horizon, placing the appropriate rate at N1,256.79/$.

President of the Association of Bureaux De Change Operators of Nigeria, Aminu Gwadabe, said the naira has maintained relative stability across market segments in recent months, effectively ending years of volatility.

Analysts attribute the reserve build-up to improved FX inflows, stronger oil earnings, increased remittances through official channels, and renewed investor confidence following forex reforms introduced under Cardoso’s leadership.

Industry data show that reserves last approached this level on August 27, 2018, when they stood at $45.9bn. The accumulation of reserves provides a stronger buffer for import financing and currency management as Nigeria heads toward a general election.

Founder and Chief Executive Officer of the Centre for the Promotion of Public Enterprise, Dr Muda Yusuf, expressed optimism about the reserves outlook, noting that he does not foresee any reversal of the forex and fiscal reforms underpinning the current stability.

However, other analysts cautioned that sustaining reserve growth in 2026 will require disciplined FX management, restrained fiscal spending, and continuity of reforms.

They noted, “Historically, election cycles in Nigeria tend to introduce policy uncertainty, FX demand pressure, and capital flow reversals. So, while reserves can be sustained in the short term, maintaining this momentum throughout an election year will depend on discipline.”

In its 2026 Macroeconomic Outlook, the CBN projected that external reserves could rise further to $51.04bn in 2026, supported by stronger oil earnings, continued FX reforms, increased bond issuance, sustained diaspora inflows, and expanded domestic refining capacity.

For policymakers, the path ahead hinges on preserving macroeconomic stability, deepening structural reforms, and ensuring that the recent gains in inflation moderation, credit expansion, and reserve accumulation translate into durable and inclusive economic growth.

65% Nigerians demand lower interest rates as MPC convenes –Report

Governor of the Central Bank of Nigeria, Olayemi CardosoAs members of the Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank of Nigeria prepare for their next meeting, fresh survey results indicate that most Nigerians want lending rates reduced, despite lingering anxiety over inflationary pressures.

This is contained in the apex bank’s January 2026 Household Expectations Survey, released ahead of the MPC’s 304th meeting scheduled for February 23 and 24, 2026. The committee retained the Monetary Policy Rate at 27.00 per cent at its November 2025 meeting, following a 50-basis-point reduction in September.

The survey showed that 65.0 per cent of respondents favour a cut in lending rates. In contrast, 12.2 per cent would prefer an increase, while 15.1 per cent want rates left unchanged. About 7.7 per cent expressed no opinion. The report read, “Majority of respondents prefer lower interest rates, with 65.0 per cent indicating a desire for rates to decline.”

Further responses point to a tilt towards looser monetary conditions, even where such a stance could complicate efforts to rein in inflation. When asked to choose between raising rates to curb inflation or keeping rates low even if inflation accelerates, 50.1 per cent opted for lower rates.

Meanwhile, 41.8 per cent supported tightening to contain inflation, and 8.2 per cent had no view. Notwithstanding this preference for cheaper credit, inflation concerns remain pronounced. About 66.6 per cent of respondents said the economy would be weak if prices rose faster than they are currently.

Only 9.6 per cent believe the economy would strengthen under that scenario, while 20.0 per cent said it would make no difference. The findings suggest that while households remain wary of rising prices, many are placing greater weight on access to affordable credit and short-term economic relief.

Consumer sentiment stayed positive for the third consecutive month in January, although it moderated. The Overall Consumer Sentiment Index stood at 2.8 points, compared with 4.8 points in December 2025.

The Economic Condition Index came in at 7.4 points, indicating continued optimism about general economic prospects, while the Family Income Sentiment Index rose to 9.1 points.

However, the Family Financial Situation Index remained negative at -8.2 points, indicating ongoing pressure on household finances.

Perceptions around price movements improved during the month. The Consumer Sentiment Index on price changes turned positive at 4.2 points, up from minus 1.4 points in December, suggesting that respondents expect price pressures to ease in the near term.

Spending patterns indicate that households are still prioritising essentials. Food and other household items recorded the highest expenditure outlook for the current month at 62.7 index points.

Education ranked second at 35.9 points, while transportation ranked third at 23.4 points. Food spending is projected to remain elevated over the next six months at 63.6 points.

Demand for high-value items remains subdued. The Buying Intention Index for big-ticket purchases was 22.8 points for the current month, rising marginally to 25.0 points over the next three months and 28.5 points over the next six months.

All three readings remain well below the 50-point threshold that signals balance between buyers and non-buyers, indicating continued caution in discretionary spending.

The PUNCH earlier in January 2026 reported that five members of the CBN’s MPC voted for a 50-basis-point reduction in the Monetary Policy Rate at the November 2025 meeting, citing sustained disinflation, stronger external buffers, and improving growth conditions.

This was according to their personal statements released by the apex bank on its website. The members are a former Executive Director at Fidelity Bank Plc, Aku Odinkemelu, an economist and policy expert, Aloysius Ordu, the Managing Director at EcoDonini Solutions Ltd, Bandele Amoo, a former Director-General of the Securities and Exchange Commission, Lamido Yuguda, and a renowned economist and university don, Prof Murtala Sagagi.

The dissenting members, who make up 41.7 per cent of the 12-member committee, proposed cutting the MPR from 27.0 per cent to 26.5 per cent and adjusting the asymmetric corridor to plus 50 and minus 450 basis points, while retaining all other prudential parameters.

The committee, however, voted to retain the benchmark rate at 27.0 per cent by a majority, reflecting continued caution about inflation risks.

Federal Government Demands Investigation Into Kano Market Inferno

President Bola Tinubu has commiserated with traders and people of Kano State over the devastating fire outbreak at Kano’s Singer Market over the weekend.

 

The fire, which started on Saturday evening, raged into Sunday morning, causing significant damage to the food market.

 

President Tinubu, who had earlier reached out to Kano State Governor Abba Kabir Yusuf to obtain a situation report on the fire, described the incident as tragic.

 

The President was particularly alarmed that the latest incident came less than two weeks after another fire destroyed dozens of shops and property at the same market.

 

President Tinubu directed a comprehensive investigation into the causes of the market fires, which often leave traders in despair.