Economists question gains from FG’s N11.1tn capital spending
The Minister of Finance and Coordinating Minister of the Economy, Wale Edun, has said Nigeria spent N11.1tn on capital expenditure in 2024, achieving 85 per cent implementation, following an extension of the budget cycle to ensure the completion of priority projects.
However, some economists have questioned whether the spending has had a tangible impact on the economy. Renowned Professor of Economics, Akpan Ekpo, said the effect of the capital outlay was not being felt due to delays in disbursement.
“It’s capital expenditure that enhances growth. Now he’s talking about 2024, which has almost a one-year or nearly two-year lag. For the 2025 budget, only 17 per cent of the capital expenditure has been released. We are not feeling the impact because of the delay in releases,” Ekpo said.
He added, “The delay in releases is a problem. The impact is not felt. Capital expenditure supports growth and development. We hope that, as the President has said, by March there will no longer be these delays. Right now, 2026 is to start, while 2025 has not ended yet because of capital releases.”
Similarly, Marcel Okeke, a former Chief Economist at Zenith Bank, described the situation as “money illusion,” noting that naira depreciation and inflation have eroded the real impact of spending.
“The cost of materials for infrastructure has risen sharply. A bag of cement in 2023 is now around N12,000. That is why you don’t see much impact because of inflation and naira depreciation. This applies across the board. PMS prices rose sharply after subsidy removal, and what we see now is largely what they claim,” Okeke said.
Speaking at the 2026 Macroeconomic Outlook event of the Nigerian Economic Summit Group in Lagos on Thursday, Edun defended the capital spending outcomes, saying they reflected the government’s decision to prioritise project execution over abandonment.
“In terms of the capital budget, the budget, at the end of the day, is a law of the National Assembly. They extended the 2024 budget for the full year to ensure that projects were completed,” Edun said.
He added, “In aggregate, capital expenditure in 2024 reached N11.1tn, so that was 85 per cent performance.
The 2025 capital is below that. That reflects that the government’s emphasis was on completing the priority projects of 2024, and despite these fiscal challenges, it’s important to note that all statutory obligations — foreign debt service, domestic debt service, and salaries- were all met by the government. An important promise of the President.”
Edun described the outcomes as indicative of transparency, fiscal discipline, and structural reform, and linked capital spending to the government’s broader economic strategy.
“All these outcomes create macro and fiscal conditions required to stabilise food prices, lower the cost of capital, expand mortgage lending, scale electricity delivery, and accelerate road construction across the federation,” he said.
The minister stressed that capital expenditure must translate into shared prosperity. “Nigeria cannot afford to pause, cannot afford to retreat, and cannot afford to sleep,” he said. “Success would determine whether stability is converted into sustained growth.”
Edun highlighted the importance of productive investment and the role of the private sector in driving development. “Global capital development, even multilateral financing, is retreating. The SDGs are not going to be met. You need three to four trillion dollars a year. It’s not going to come before 2030. We’ve seen how multilateralism is retreating. It means that we have to rely on our own holistic resource utilisation,” he said.
He concluded by calling on Nigerians at home and abroad to invest in the economy, reaffirming the government’s commitment to turning fiscal stability into inclusive, job-rich growth.
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