Apapa Customs reports N2.93tn revenue in 2025

Nigeria Customs ServiceThe Nigeria Customs Service, Apapa Area Port Command, has stated that it collected a total of N2.93tn as revenue in 2025, representing an increase of N573.2bn compared to the N2.35tn collected in 2024, a 24.3 per cent growth.

“The command collected a total of N2.93tn as revenue in 2025, recording an impressive increase of N573.2bn when compared to N2.35tn collected in 2024, representing a 24.32 per cent growth. The performance reinforces Apapa Command’s position as the nation’s leading revenue hub,” the statement read in part.

The Customs Area Controller in charge of the command, Emmanuel Oshoba, attributed the achievement to effective leadership, disciplined manpower, and the strategic deployment of technology under the guidance of the Comptroller-General of Customs, Adewale Adeniyi.

He also commended compliant stakeholders whose lawful trade practices contributed significantly to the revenue growth.

“A major contributor to the success was the deployment of the Unified Customs Management System, also known as B’Odogwu, which enhanced transparency, efficiency, and accountability in cargo clearance processes. Regular performance reviews and timely revenue recovery measures further strengthened collections,” Oshoba stated.

According to Oshoba, in the area of trade facilitation, the command intensified stakeholder sensitisation following the rollout of the Authorised Economic Operator Programme and expanded the One-Stop Shop initiative to ensure faster processing and release of compliant cargoes.

“Efforts are also at an advanced stage to deploy the FS6000 cargo scanning system, a non-intrusive technology capable of scanning up to 200 containers per hour,” he added.

Oshoba highlighted that the command also recorded enforcement successes, intercepting 53 containers laden with illicit drugs and prohibited items, including cocaine, Canadian loud, tramadol, and expired pharmaceuticals with a duty paid value of N12.6bn.

He added that some of the interceptions in the year 2025 were handed over to relevant agencies such as the National Drug Law Enforcement Agency and the National Agency for Food and Drug Administration and Control for further investigation and possible prosecution.

Oshoba expressed optimism that the command would achieve greater revenue milestones in 2026, driven by deeper implementation of B’Odogwu, AEO, and OSS, stronger intelligence-led enforcement, and expanded collaboration with sister agencies.

He assured stakeholders of enhanced engagement with terminal operators, shipping companies, licensed customs agents, freight forwarders, haulage operators, and the media to promote transparency, compliance, and seamless trade at the nation’s busiest port.

Meanwhile, the Nigeria Customs Service, Seme Area Command, said that from January to December 2025, it collected a total of N15.5bn as revenue, marking a remarkable 117 per cent increase when compared with the N7.1bn collected by the command in 2024.

Announcing this in a statement on Wednesday, the Public Relations Officer of the command, Tunde Ayagbalo, stressed that the command recorded unprecedented revenue milestones in 2025, achieving its highest-ever monthly and annual revenue collections since inception.

Ayagbalo stated that in December 2025 alone, the command collected a historic N3.6bn, “the highest monthly revenue on record.”

He added that the record is attributed to the effective rollout of the One-Stop Shop Initiative by the Comptroller-General of Customs, Adewale Adeniyi, which improves the command’s coordination and trade facilitation for stakeholders.

“From January to December 2025, the command generated a total of N15.5bn only, showing a remarkable 117 per cent increase when compared to N7.1bn recorded in 2024,” Ayagbalo said.

The command’s PRO added that the command also maintained robust anti-smuggling operations, in December 2025, intercepting “685 parcels of cannabis sativa, 495 packs of tramadol, and 2,000 packs of Super Power sildenafil tablets, an excessively high-dosage sexual enhancement drug, through intelligence-led operations, enhanced patrols, risk profiling, and inter-agency collaboration.”

Ayagbalo reiterated that in alignment with the CGC’s directive, the Customs Area Controller in charge of Seme Command, Wale Adenuga, has successfully reduced checkpoints along the Lagos–Abidjan corridor to the two locations approved by the Federal Government, significantly easing legitimate trade, minimising delays, and contributing to the command’s outstanding revenue performance.

Speaking on the achievement, the CAC, Wale Adenuga, warned smugglers that the Seme borders are no longer safe for illicit activities.

“With advanced intelligence, technology, and unwavering vigilance, the officers and men of the command will intercept and prosecute offenders,” he warned.

Consumers pay N1.13tn electricity bill despite blackouts

National gridElectricity distribution companies in Nigeria collected a total of N1.13tn in revenue from their customers over the six months spanning the second and third quarters of 2025 (April to September), according to detailed monthly performance data from the Nigerian Electricity Regulatory Commission.

This is despite repeated complaints of low power supply among electricity consumers and incessant cases of blackouts in many locations nationwide.

During the period under review, the national power grid suffered a total collapse, plunging customers into darkness. At the same time, GenCos (power generation companies) reported a reduction in power generation due to the low gas supply to power plants as a result of unpaid debts.

Despite this, the NERC report on monthly revenue performance and collection efficiency, covering the 11 DisCos, stated that the total revenue collected by all DisCos in 2025/Q3 was N570.25bn out of the N706.61bn that was billed to customers.

This translates to a collection efficiency of 80.70 per cent. In comparison, the total revenue collected by all DisCos in 2025/Q2 was N564.71bn out of the N742.34bn billed to customers, which translated to a 76.07 per cent collection efficiency.

The summation of both quarters indicates that power users paid N1.13tn to the distribution companies as electricity bills for the six months. This means that at an aggregate level, DisCos recorded a 4.63 pp increase in collection efficiency between 2025/Q2 and 2025/Q3.

In 2025/Q3, Ikeja DisCo recorded the highest collection efficiency of 100 per cent, while three other DisCos recorded collection efficiencies greater than 80 per cent: Eko, 88.74 per cent; Benin, 86.44 per cent; and Abuja, 81.60 per cent. Conversely, Kaduna DisCo recorded the lowest collection efficiency at 45.67 per cent.

A comparison of DisCos’ performance shows that Ikeja (+17.58 percentage points), Port Harcourt (+8.83 pp), Yola (+8.72 pp), Abuja (+5.24 pp), Jos (+4.90 pp), Eko (+0.94 pp), and Benin (+0.89 pp) DisCos recorded improvements in collection efficiency between 2025/Q2 and 2025/Q3.

Conversely, the remaining four DisCos recorded declines in collection efficiency, with Kaduna (-2.70 pp) and Ibadan (-1.34 pp) DisCos having the most significant declines across the quarters.

From April to June 2025, N564.67bn was collected, translating to N197.08bn in April, N188.70bn in May, and N178.89bn in June. In the third quarter, when revenue grew to N570.28bn, a sum of N190.52bn was recovered in July, N187.47bn in August, and N192.29bn in September.

The six-month total of N1.13tn reflects a modest increase in absolute collections from Q2 to Q3, despite a decline in total billing between the two quarters. This contributed to the overall improvement in collection efficiency by 4.63 percentage points in Q3 compared to Q2.

The data underscores ongoing efforts by DisCos to enhance revenue recovery amid challenges such as estimated billing, energy theft, and infrastructure constraints. Collections in September 2025 (N192.29bn) represented the highest monthly figure in the period, indicating some stabilisation.

Individual DisCo performances varied widely, with urban-based operators like Ikeja exceeding 100 per cent efficiency in Q3 due to possible legacy recoveries and Eko leading in recovery rates, while northern DisCos such as Kaduna, Jos, and Kano lagged significantly.

“In 2025/Q3, energy accounting and collection efficiencies increased by 1.37 pp and 4.63 pp, respectively, compared to 2025/Q2. Based on historical trends, this increase in efficiencies across the two quarters can be attributed to the decreased energy offtake (-6.08 per cent) during the quarter compared to 2025/Q2.

“It has been observed that there is an inverse relationship between DisCos’ energy offtake and their energy accounting/collection efficiencies. Typically, when DisCos take less energy, they often prioritise areas where they record historically lower energy accounting and collection inefficiencies.

NERC noted that accurate metering is needed to boost collection efficiencies. “The most proven methods to improve energy accounting and revenue recovery are accurate customer enumeration and the installation of end-use customer meters.

“The commission issued the order on the operationalisation of Tranche A of the Meter Acquisition Fund in 2024/Q2. The Order directed DisCos to utilise the first tranche of disbursement from the MAF scheme to procure and install meters for unmetered Band A customers within their franchise areas.

“The first tranche of MAF ended in June 2025 and recorded a total meter installation of 107,461 for Band A customers. Subsequently, the commission issued the Order on the operationalisation of MAF tranche B in September 2025, and the Order provides that DisCos could utilise N28bn out of the funds that have accrued in the MAF for the metering of Bands A and B customers in their franchise area,” the report added.

UBA closes rights issue, raises N157.84bn

United Bank for Africa PlcUnited Bank for Africa has successfully closed its rights issue, raising N157.84bn after the exercise was fully subscribed, the bank announced on Wednesday.

The rights issue offered 3,156,869,665 ordinary shares at N50 per share, on the basis of one new share for every thirteen existing shares held by shareholders on the register as of 16 July 2025.

At the close of the acceptance list on 19 September 2025, UBA initially received 6,404 applications for 4.13bn shares valued at N206.74bn. Following scaling adjustments by shareholders, the final allotment amounted to 3.16bn shares worth N157.84bn, representing 100 per cent subscription of the rights issue.

A breakdown of the subscriptions shows that 6,404 valid applications were received for 3.57bn shares valued at N178.3bn, while 568.7m shares valued at N28.43bn were deemed invalid. Full acceptances accounted for 453.58m shares, and partial acceptances totalled 135.27m shares, resulting in 190.93m shares partially renounced.

During the exercise, a total of 2,568,006,215 shares were renounced and reallocated. Applications for additional shares amounted to 2.98bn shares valued at N148.86bn, of which 2.57bn shares valued at N128.4bn were allotted, following a scale-down by one shareholder.

The Securities and Exchange Commission has cleared the basis of allotment. The PAC Registrars and Investor Services Limited will credit the CSCS accounts of allottees by Friday, 16 January 2026, while surplus subscription monies will be returned by Tuesday, 13 January 2026. Shareholders without CSCS accounts will have shares credited using a Registrar Identification Number in line with SEC directives on dematerialisation of share certificates.

The successful rights issue highlights strong investor confidence in UBA and provides additional capital to support the bank’s operations and expansion initiatives across Africa.

NGX gains N468bn as New Year rally persists

NGXThe Nigerian Exchange extended its positive momentum in the new trading year on Tuesday, as sustained buying interest across key stocks lifted total market capitalisation by about N468bn, reinforcing investor optimism and consolidating the market’s position above the N100tn milestone.

At the close of trading, total equities market capitalisation rose to N102.28tn from N101.81tn recorded in the previous session, reflecting a 0.46 per cent increase in market value within one trading day. The gain underscores continued bullish sentiment following the strong opening to the 2026 trading year.

The All-Share Index advanced by 0.46 per cent, adding 732.86 points to close at 159,951.08 points, compared with 159,218.22 points on Monday. The performance pushed the market’s year-to-date return to 2.79 per cent, highlighting a firm start to the year amid renewed portfolio positioning by investors.

Market activity showed notable improvement, with a total of 758.93m shares exchanged in 54,199 deals, valued at N19.83bn. Compared with the previous trading day, trading volume increased by 9 per cent, while turnover rose by seven per cent, despite a four per cent decline in the number of deals executed.

The increase in volume and value points to stronger participation by investors, particularly in actively traded stocks, even as transactions were concentrated in fewer but larger trades.

In aggregate, 130 listed equities participated in trading during the session. Market breadth closed positive, with 65 gainers against 21 losers, indicating broad investor participation and a generally upbeat sentiment across the market.

Meyer Plc topped the gainers’ chart, appreciating by the maximum 10 per cent to close at N14.30 per share. Jaiz Bank Plc followed with a 10 per cent gain, while Associated Bus Company Plc rose by 9.98 per cent. Multiverse Mining and Exploration Plc also posted strong performance, advancing by 9.94 per cent.

On the losing side, Aluminium Extrusion Industries Plc recorded the steepest decline, shedding 9.96 per cent to close at N21.70 per share. Learn Africa Plc fell by 9.16 per cent, and Oando Plc declined by 7.69 per cent, while United Bank for Africa Plc lost 6.22 per cent.

Trading by volume was led by Linkage Assurance Plc, which recorded 51.6m shares traded. Sterling Bank Plc followed with 49.1m shares, while Access Holdings Plc and Mutual Benefits Assurance Plc recorded volumes of 48.7m and 34.7m shares, respectively.

Market performance during the session was driven largely by activity in heavyweight stocks, including MTN Nigeria Communications Plc, Access Holdings Plc, Guaranty Trust Holding Company Plc, Zenith Bank Plc, and United Bank for Africa Plc, which together accounted for a significant share of market turnover and index movement.

Overall, the equities market closed the session bullish, extending the early-year rally and keeping total market capitalisation comfortably above N100tn. Analysts note that the sustained gains reflect renewed investor confidence, selective bargain hunting, and positioning ahead of expected corporate earnings releases and macroeconomic developments.

Meanwhile, broader market indicators remained supportive. At the close of trading, Brent crude oil traded at $61.82 per barrel, while gold stood at $4,418.82 per ounce on the international commodities market, providing additional context for global risk sentiment.

With market capitalisation now at N102.28tn and trading activity strengthening, the NGX appears set to maintain positive momentum in the early days of 2026, barring any adverse macroeconomic or policy shocks.

Fidelity Bank raises N259bn in private placement

Fidelity Bank logoFidelity Bank Plc has raised N259bn through a Private Placement of ordinary shares, significantly boosting its capital base as the lender intensifies efforts to meet the new regulatory capital requirements for commercial banks with international authorisation.

In a statement issued on the Nigerian Exchange Limited on Tuesday, the bank said the Private Placement was conducted following approvals from the Central Bank of Nigeria and the Securities and Exchange Commission and was successfully opened and closed on 31 December 2025.

“Fidelity Bank Plc is pleased to inform the general public that, following approvals granted by the Central Bank of Nigeria and the Securities and Exchange Commission, it successfully opened and closed a Private Placement of ordinary shares on 31 December 2025,” the bank said.

According to the statement, the exercise resulted in the bank raising N259bn, which increased its eligible capital from N305.5bn to N564.5bn, subject to final regulatory approvals.

“This exercise resulted in the bank raising N259bn, increasing its eligible capital from N305.5bn to N564.5bn, awaiting regulatory approvals,” the statement added.

The bank explained that the Private Placement was carried out pursuant to the authority granted by shareholders at its Extraordinary General Meeting held on 6 February 2025, where approval was given for the issuance of up to 20bn ordinary shares.

“The Private Placement was conducted pursuant to the authorisation received from the Bank’s shareholders at the Extraordinary General Meeting of 6 February 2025, to issue up to 20bn Ordinary Shares by way of Private Placement,” Fidelity Bank stated.

The latest capital raise forms part of the lender’s broader recapitalisation programme aimed at meeting the new minimum capital threshold of N500bn set by regulators for commercial banks with international licences.

The bank recalled that it had previously raised N175.85bn through a Public Offer and Rights Issue in 2024, which lifted its eligible capital to N305.5bn at the time.

“The Bank had previously raised N175.85bn through a Public Offer and Rights Issue in 2024, bringing its eligible capital to N305.5bn,” the statement added.

Following the completion of the Private Placement, Fidelity Bank said it has now surpassed the N500bn regulatory requirement, with a buffer above the minimum threshold.

“This left a margin of N194.5bn to meet the new regulatory capital requirement of N500bn for commercial banks with international authorisation,” the bank added.

Industry analysts say the successful completion of the Private Placement positions Fidelity Bank strongly ahead of regulatory deadlines and reflects sustained investor confidence in the lender’s growth strategy, balance sheet strength and long-term outlook.

With eligible capital now standing at N564.5bn, Fidelity Bank joins the growing list of Nigerian lenders that have made significant progress in the ongoing banking sector recapitalisation exercise, as regulators push for stronger, more resilient financial institutions capable of supporting economic growth.

Rand Merchant Bank Nigeria meets CBN recapitalisation threshold

Rand Merchant Bank (RMD)Rand Merchant Bank Nigeria Limited has announced meeting the new minimum capital requirement as set by the Central Bank of Nigeria.

This was disclosed in a statement made available to our correspondent on Monday, indicating that the MCR was achieved on 30 December 2025.

In March 2024, the CBN raised the operating minimum capital requirements for banks operating in the country. Banks with an international licence faced N500 bn, while national commercial banks were expected to raise N200 bn. The MCR for regional banks and merchant banks was pegged at N50 bn each. In the non-interest sector, national non-interest players were expected to meet a new N20 bn capital threshold, while regional players would raise N10 bn.

RMB Nigeria said that the milestone underscores its financial strength, resilience, and unwavering commitment to regulatory compliance, while reflecting shareholders’ confidence in the Nigerian economy and the bank’s role in shaping the country’s evolving financial landscape.

Meeting the CBN capitalisation threshold positions RMBN to deliver innovative financial solutions to clients, enhance customer confidence, and contribute to the stability and growth of Nigeria’s banking sector.

Commenting on the achievement, Chief Executive Officer of RMBN, Mr Bayo Ajayi, said, “We are proud to have met the CBN’s capitalisation requirement.

This achievement reflects our shareholders’ confidence in the Nigerian economy and our dedication to delivering best-in-class corporate and investment banking services across Nigeria and Africa. Our focus remains on building a stronger, more resilient institution that can thrive in Nigeria’s dynamic financial environment.”

With this feat, RMB Nigeria has joined the ranks of lenders who have met the MCR ahead of the March 2026 deadline set by the CBN.

At the last Bankers’ Dinner in Lagos, the Governor of the CBN, Olayemi Cardoso, confirmed that the process remains firmly on course. He noted that several banks have already met the new capital thresholds, while others are steadily advancing and are well-positioned to meet the deadline.

“To date, 27 banks have raised capital through public offers and rights issues, and sixteen have already met or exceeded the new requirements, a clear testament to the depth, resilience, and capacity of Nigeria’s banking sector,” he said.

NNPC cuts petrol price to N815/litre in Abuja

GCEO NNPC Ltd, Mr Bashir Bayo Ojulari addresses the staff of the company during his inaugural town hall meeting held at the NNPC Towers, on Thursday. CREDIT: NNPCLThe Nigerian National Petroleum Company Limited has reduced the pump price of Premium Motor Spirit, also known as petrol, at its retail outlets, lowering the price to N815 per litre in Abuja.

The PUNCH correspondent, who monitored filling stations across the Federal Capital Territory on Monday, observed that the new price represents a N20 reduction from the previous rate of N835 per litre sold at NNPC outlets.

The revised price was implemented at NNPC filling stations located at Lugbe, Wuse Zones 4 and 6, along the Keffi–Abuja Road, as well as on the Kubwa Expressway.

Despite the latest reduction, NNPC’s pump price remains N79 higher than the N739 per litre currently sold at Dangote Refinery-backed MRS filling stations nationwide. Checks by our correspondent showed wide price disparities across retail outlets in Abuja on Monday.

While Matrix stations sold petrol at N840 per litre, Sunlight outlets dispensed the product at N825. Optima Energy sold at N835, while some NNPC stations, including those around Lugbe and the retail outlet opposite Shoprite, reflected the N815 price.

In contrast, MRS stations maintained the lowest price at N739 per litre.

The latest price cut comes amid intensified competition in Nigeria’s downstream oil sector, following the commencement of large-scale petrol supply from the Dangote Petroleum Refinery.

Recall that on December 19, 2025, NNPC slashed its petrol price by N80, from N915 to N835 per litre, in response to a price war triggered by Dangote Refinery’s reduction of its gantry price to N699 per litre.

On December 12, 2025, Dangote refinery reduced its ex-gantry petrol price to N699 per litre, down from N828, representing the lowest price in about two years. The ongoing price adjustments reflect the early effects of deregulation and increased domestic refining capacity, with marketers forced to respond to competitive pressures rather than regulated pricing.

However, consumers continue to grapple with price volatility, while independent marketers have raised concerns over shrinking margins and uneven access to competitively priced supply.

The Federal Government has repeatedly maintained that pricing will be determined by market forces, even as Nigerians closely watch how far prices may fall as supply from local refineries stabilises.

Chapel Hill, CardinalStone dominate NGX trading

Nigerian Exchange LimitedChapel Hill Denham Securities Ltd and CardinalStone Securities Ltd emerged as the top-performing stockbrokers on the Nigerian Exchange during the fourth quarter of 2025, commanding a significant portion of trading activity by both volume and value, according to the latest Broker Performance Report.

The report, covering the period 1 October to 31 December 2025, shows that the top 10 brokers accounted for 64.22 per cent of total market volume and 62.78 per cent of total market value, underscoring the concentration of trading activity among a handful of leading brokerage firms.

Chapel Hill Denham Securities Ltd dominated trading in terms of volume, executing 41,421,097,747 shares, representing 28.92 per cent of total market volume in the quarter.

CardinalStone Securities followed with 17,635,245,204 shares, or 12.31 per cent of total volume, while ABSA Securities Nigeria Ltd and Meristem Stockbrokers Ltd completed the top four by volume, handling 10,789,141,645 shares (7.53 per cent) and 4,425,714,002 shares (3.09 per cent), respectively

Other brokers rounding out the top 10 by volume included Stanbic IBTC Stockbrokers with 3,456,281,283 shares, Coronation Securities with 3,257,958,778 shares, Morgan Capital Securities with 2,968,859,215 shares, CSL Stockbrokers with 2,928,194,706 shares, TRW Stockbrokers with 2,560,080,028 shares, and Cordros Securities with 2,526,395,514 shares. In aggregate, these top 10 brokers executed a combined 91,968,968,122 shares, accounting for over 64 per cent of all trades on the NGX during the quarter.

While Chapel Hill Denham led in volume, CardinalStone Securities claimed the top spot in terms of transaction value, posting N453,569,479,610.25 in trades, representing 13.35 per cent of total market value. ABSA Securities followed with N362,748,192,623.70 (10.68 per cent), and Chapel Hill Denham was third, recording N257,128,730,321.12 (7.57 per cent).

Other notable brokers in the top 10 by value included Stanbic IBTC Stockbrokers with N231,371,823,315.13, Cordros Securities with N196,574,290,092.59, APT Securities and Funds with N137,284,321,829.46, Meristem Stockbrokers with N131,434,493,116.99, EFG Hermes Nig Ltd with N126,791,318,859.58, Coronation Securities with N124,471,182,330.24, and First Securities Brokers with N111,688,322,416.34.

Together, the top 10 brokers handled trades valued at N2,133,062,154,515.40, representing over 62 per cent of the market’s total value in the last quarter of the year.

“The dominance of Chapel Hill Denham and CardinalStone demonstrates their critical role in maintaining market depth and liquidity,” said a market expert. “These brokers not only handle a significant portion of shares traded but also execute some of the largest value transactions, providing confidence to both retail and institutional investors.”

Nigerians cut household spending by N14tn as inflation bites hard

Olawale EdunHousehold consumption in Nigeria slumped sharply in real terms in 2024 as rising prices eroded the purchasing power of millions of families, according to provisional figures from the Central Bank of Nigeria’s latest statistical bulletin.

Data on Gross Domestic Product by expenditure showed that household final consumption expenditure at 2010 constant purchasers’ prices fell from N45.41tn in 2023 to N31.12tn in 2024.

This represents a real decline of about N14.29tn, or roughly 31 per cent year-on-year, signalling a major contraction in the volume of goods and services consumed by households. Constant price data are adjusted for inflation, meaning they strip out the effect of rising prices to measure actual changes in economic activity.

When this measure collapses, as seen in 2024, it suggests that households are cutting back materially on what they can afford, not just paying more for the same items. However, the same indicator measured at current purchasers’ prices tells a very different but revealing story.

Household consumption at current prices rose from N146.69tn in 2023 to N173.01tn in 2024, an increase of about N26.31tn or nearly 18 per cent. Current price figures are not adjusted for inflation. They simply reflect what households spent in naira terms.

The fact that nominal spending rose while real spending plunged shows that Nigerians are spending more money but getting less value, with inflation swallowing a large share of household budgets.

The steep fall in real household spending is consistent with the sustained double-digit inflation that characterised the year. Nigeria’s headline inflation rate began 2024 at 29.90 per cent in January, up from around 28.9 per cent in December 2023, reflecting continued pressure on prices early in the year.

Throughout 2024, inflation climbed further, with official data showing it reached around 34.80 per cent in December 2024, one of the highest annual rates in the decade.

The year-on-year inflation acceleration over 2024 was driven by persistent increases in food and other essential prices and was marginally higher at the end of the year compared with November.

The persistent high inflation through 2024 compounded the cost-of-living squeeze on Nigerian households. Soaring food, transport, energy, and accommodation costs have pushed many families to the edge, forcing them to prioritise basic survival over discretionary spending.

Even staple food items rose beyond the reach of many lower-income earners, while the removal of petrol subsidy and exchange rate pressures filtered through to almost every aspect of daily living.

The data also paint a worrying picture of real employee earnings. Compensation of employees at 2010 constant purchasers’ prices fell from N28.27tn in 2023 to N25.48tn in 2024.

This represents a drop of about N2.78tn, or close to 10 per cent. In simple terms, when adjusted for inflation, the total value of wages and salaries in the economy declined, meaning workers’ earnings bought less than they did a year earlier.

By contrast, compensation of employees at current prices increased from N63.83tn to N75.59tn, a nominal rise of roughly N11.76tn or about 18 per cent. This again highlights the inflation problem.

While employers may have raised salaries on paper, those increases were not enough to keep pace with rising prices. Real incomes shrank despite higher nominal pay, reinforcing the pressure on household consumption.

Economists often rely on constant-price indicators to understand whether an economy is genuinely expanding or contracting. In this case, the slump in real household spending signals weakening domestic demand, which is a key engine of economic growth.

Household consumption typically accounts for the largest share of GDP on the expenditure side. When consumers cut back at this scale, businesses in retail, manufacturing, services, and hospitality are likely to feel the impact through lower sales, slower production, and reduced investment.

Earlier in 2024, the Chief Executive Officer of Centre for the Promotion of Private Enterprises, Muda Yusuf, said the persistent inflationary pressures continue to be a troubling phenomenon.

Reacting to inflation figures released by the NBS in February 2024, Yusuf said in a statement that the purchasing power had continued to slump over the past few months, pushing Nigerians into poverty.

The CPPE CEO bemoaned that, as inflation maintained an upward trend, economic growth may remain subdued, while the risk of stagflation heightens

“Regrettably, the major inflation drivers are not receding; if anything, they have become even more intense. These include the depreciating exchange rate, surging transportation costs, logistics challenges, forex market illiquidity, astronomical hike in diesel cost, insecurity in farming communities, and structural bottlenecks to production. These are largely supply-side issues.

“The weakening of the naira against the currency of our neighbouring countries [CFA], has continued to incentivise the outflow of agricultural products to these countries. This is complicating the supply side challenges, especially of food crops,” the CEO said.

According to Yusuf, the high inflation is causing increased pressure on production costs, making it harder for businesses to maintain profitability. This, in turn, is eroding shareholder value and lowering investor confidence.

By January 2024, the National President of the Association of Small Business Owners of Nigeria, Dr Femi Egbesola, said the rising inflation has negatively impacted the private sector and the economy as a whole.

He said, “This is because inflation has led to a loss of consumers’ purchasing power, increased production costs, and a reduction in profitability. Inflation has made our businesses less attractive for investors and, by extension, the economy.”

As inflation rises, low labour income has pushed an estimated 14 million Nigerians into poverty in 2024, according to the World Bank’s report on Macro Poverty Outlook: Country-by-Country Analysis and Projections for the Developing World.

The report noted that nearly 47 per cent of the Nigerian population now lives below the international poverty line of $2.15 per day, as surging inflation and a struggling economic structure fail to meet the demands of rapid population growth.

It read, “Labour incomes have not kept pace, pushing an additional 14 million Nigerians into poverty in 2024. An estimated 47 per cent of Nigerians now live in poverty (or below the international poverty line of $2.15.”

In response to the rising poverty levels, the report noted that the Nigerian government has launched temporary cash assistance initiatives targeting 15 million households.

Each household will receive N75,000, distributed in three instalments, benefitting an estimated 67 million people overall.

The World Bank added, “Poverty is estimated at 52 per cent in 2026. Reforms to protect the poorest against inflation and boost livelihoods through more productive work are key for Nigerians to escape poverty. A tight monetary stance while avoiding reliance on ways and means remains crucial for moderating inflation.”

The World Bank stressed the need for continued reforms, noting that “While macro stabilisation is essential and currently underway, by itself it is insufficient to enable Nigeria to reach its growth potential. Sustained efforts and the establishment of a credible track record are necessary to achieve sustained progress.

“Economic growth has struggled to keep pace with population growth, contributing to poverty exacerbated by double-digit inflation.”

OPEC+ pauses oil output hike, weighs Venezuela shock

OPECThe Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies, OPEC+, have agreed to pause their planned oil supply increases through the first quarter of 2026, opting to maintain current production levels amid a growing global surplus and uncertainty surrounding future output from Venezuela.

The decision was reached at a brief meeting on Sunday led by the group’s dominant producers, Saudi Arabia and Russia, according to a Bloomberg report.

Delegates at the meeting said it would be premature to adjust supply policy in response to recent political developments in Venezuela, following the reported capture of the country’s leader, Nicolás Maduro, by United States forces.

The report read, “OPEC+ stuck with plans to pause supply increases in the first quarter at a meeting on Sunday, as global markets face a surplus and the group awaits clarity on whether the shock US capture of Venezuelan leader Nicolas Maduro will impact supplies.

“Key members led by Saudi Arabia and Russia will maintain collective production levels through the end of March, the delegates said, asking not to be identified because the decision isn’t public.

“While they added it would be premature to adjust supply in response to Maduro’s capture, the outlook for Venezuelan output may become an important question in the months ahead for the group.”

Bloomberg noted that the virtual meeting lasted less than 10 minutes and did not include detailed discussions on Venezuela, as members agreed that any immediate supply response would be hasty.

Key producers confirmed that collective output levels would be maintained at least until the end of March 2026, reflecting a cautious stance as oil markets face oversupply and weakening price momentum.

Global crude markets have struggled under the weight of excess supply, with oil futures falling about 18 per cent last year, their steepest annual decline since the COVID-19 pandemic in 2020.

Forecasts for 2026 also point to a widening supply glut as production from OPEC+ and non-OPEC producers continues to outpace demand growth. Venezuela, which holds the world’s largest proven oil reserves, currently produces about 800,000 barrels per day, less than one per cent of global supply and a fraction of its historical capacity.

While the country’s long-term output recovery could add significant volumes to the market, analysts say such a turnaround would take years, even with renewed foreign investment.

US President Donald Trump recently said American oil companies could invest billions of dollars to rebuild Venezuela’s dilapidated energy infrastructure following the military operation that led to Maduro’s capture. However, sources cited by Bloomberg said key oil facilities were not damaged during the operation.

The latest pause comes after a strategic shift by OPEC+ in April 2025, when the group began rapidly restoring production cuts introduced in 2023. The move was widely seen as an attempt to reclaim market share lost to rivals such as US shale producers, despite signs that global supply was already ample.

Before Sunday’s decision, OPEC+ had agreed to bring back about two-thirds of the 3.85 million barrels per day of output previously curtailed, leaving roughly 1.2 million barrels per day yet to be restored.

However, actual supply increases have lagged behind targets due to capacity constraints in some member states and efforts by others to compensate for earlier overproduction.

The decision to freeze supply increases carries significant implications for Nigeria’s oil-dependent economy. As Africa’s largest crude producer and a member of OPEC, Nigeria’s fiscal position remains closely tied to global oil prices and export volumes.

By maintaining current output levels in a market already facing surplus, OPEC+ is likely to keep crude prices stable but subdued in the near term, limiting upside revenue potential for oil exporters.

Oil earnings account for the bulk of Nigeria’s foreign exchange inflows and a substantial share of government revenue, making OPEC+ supply decisions critical for budget planning, debt servicing, and exchange rate stability.

Nigeria has also struggled in recent years to fully meet its OPEC production quota due to oil theft, pipeline vandalism, and years of underinvestment, constraining its ability to benefit even when output caps are loosened.

Prolonged periods of weak oil prices could further strain Nigeria’s public finances, widen budget deficits, and increase pressure on the naira.

In response, the Federal Government has continued to push reforms aimed at boosting crude output, improving domestic refining capacity, and accelerating economic diversification away from oil through non-oil exports and domestic revenue mobilisation.

OPEC+, which includes the 13-member OPEC bloc and allies such as Russia, controls a significant share of global oil supply, giving its production decisions outsized influence over oil prices and the economic fortunes of oil-producing nations like Nigeria.