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Inflation rises to 21.9%, private sector blames naira crisis


Headline inflation rose to 21.91 per cent in February amid a naira redesign policy that was meant to mop up cash and curb excess currency in circulation.

According to the Organised Private Sector in the country, the Central Bank of Nigeria’s naira redesign policy has contributed to a naira crisis that has driven inflation to record highs.  Nigeria’s 21.91 per cent inflation rate for February is the highest in 18 years.

Data from the National Bureau of Statistics revealed that this is the second consecutive month inflation is rising in the year after it fell in December 2022, after an 11-month rise. In January, inflation rose to 21.82 per cent from the 21.34 per cent that was recorded in December 2022.

The NBS, on Wednesday, disclosed that increases in the price of bread, cereal, rent, potatoes, yam, tubers, vegetables, and meat drove inflation up in February.

It said, “In February 2023, the headline inflation rate rose to 21.91 per cent compared to January 2023 head-line inflation rate which was 21.82 per cent.

“Looking at the trend, the February 2023 inflation rate showed an increase of 0.09 per cent points when compared to January 2023 headline inflation rate.”

The national statistics body of the country added, “The contributions of items on a class basis to the increase in the headline index are presented, thus: bread and cereal (21.67 per cent), actual and imputed rent (7.74 per cent), potatoes, yam and other tubers (6.06 per cent), vegetable (5.44 per cent), and meat (4.78 per cent).”

The effect of inflation is more felt in Bauchi (24.59 per cent), Rivers (24.40 per cent), and Ondo (24.27 per cent), where inflation is above the national average.

Sokoto (18.90 per cent), Borno (18.94 per cent), and Cross River (19.62 per cent), recorded the slowest rise in headline y-o-y inflation.

In February, food inflation rose to 24.35 per cent year-on-year basis. Food was more expensive in Kwara as food inflation hit 29.51 per cent, Imo (27.47 per cent), and Lagos (27.42 per cent). It was lowest in Sokoto (18.54 per cent), Jigawa (19.67 per cent), and Yobe (21.89 per cent).

While justifying the naira redesign policy, the CBN’s acting Branch Controller in Ondo State, Mr Giwa Ademola, explained that the “benefits of the currency redesign to the Nigerian economy are enormous given that this policy will help to control inflation, as the exercise will bring the hoarded currency into the banking system, thereby making monetary policy more effective.

“It will also help with better design and implementation of monetary policy as we will have much more accurate data on money supply and monetary aggregates.”

According to the Governor, CBN, Godwin Emefiele, currency management is a key function of the apex bank, and controlling the currency in circulation is key to the success of monetary policies, which includes taming inflation.

While briefing the diplomatic community on recent monetary policy decisions of the CBN at the Ministry of Foreign Affairs in Abuja in February, he said, “We have started to see inflation trending downwards and exchange rates relatively stable.”

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